{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b232a8db-c069-4a3a-9cfd-94706418268c", "symbol": "301106", "name": "Jiangsu Smartwin Electronics Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.238, "architecture_energy": 79.763, "architecture_maturity": 23.619, "architecture_confidence": 81.72, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 8.78, "upward_expansion": 18.91, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 77.92, "downward_expansion": 94.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.943334, 17.494546, 19.913586, 20.734487 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.870001, "trend_reference": 21.634919, "distance_from_trend": -0.220242, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.494559, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.176855, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.332223, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.275231, "excess_performance": -0.282631, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.220242, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033668, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.176855, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.427957, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.243322, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.189858, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.275231, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.100775, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12672207, "relative_activity": 0.849207, "balance": 1.100775, "dry_up": 0.946159, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.168001, "annualized_volatility": 0.584228, "from_high_reference": -0.37691, "from_low_reference": 0.245019 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.634919, "fair_value_reference": 20.494559, 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21.54048, 22.266712, 22.384462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.54, "volume": 15991653, "typical_volume": 14479936.1, "trend": 22.145267, "fair_value": 20.548132, "relative_strength": -29.434548, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.703141, "energy": 77.567963, "activity_lines": [ 18.454, 20.236684, 21.609293, 21.947695 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.89, "volume": 14487023, "typical_volume": 14611682.2, "trend": 21.957567, "fair_value": 20.527096, "relative_strength": -31.970273, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.45887, "energy": 83.905805, "activity_lines": [ 16.828, 18.991245, 20.928419, 21.479613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.31, "volume": 13324952, "typical_volume": 14707633.15, "trend": 21.771888, "fair_value": 20.495606, "relative_strength": -28.339698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.492082, "energy": 85.294399, "activity_lines": [ 15.904666, 18.018597, 20.327615, 21.050737 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.870001, "volume": 12672207, "typical_volume": 14922393.55, "trend": 21.634919, "fair_value": 20.494559, "relative_strength": -24.332223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.237778, "energy": 79.763237, "activity_lines": [ 15.943334, 17.494546, 19.913586, 20.734487 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }