{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2475bea-260d-4563-82ac-73cc2c094130", "symbol": "RENT3", "name": "Localiza Rent a Car S.A.", "exchange": "BUE", "country": "AR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-10-09", "benchmark": "^MERV", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 57.986, "architecture_energy": 61.221, "architecture_maturity": 27.657, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.93, "rotation_up": 76.84, "upward_expansion": 47.36, "deceleration": 37.9, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 22.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 7071.666667, 6387.409091, 6096.488095, 6160.747312 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 8850.0, "trend_reference": 6304.25, "distance_from_trend": 0.403815, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5169.828, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.711856, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 45.138193, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.23431, "excess_performance": 0.291247, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.403815, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035507, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.711856, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.494991, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.451382, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.619764, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.23431, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 11.875373, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20335, "relative_activity": 1.318058, "balance": 11.875373, "dry_up": 2.241655, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057997, "annualized_volatility": 0.613056, "from_high_reference": -0.003939, "from_low_reference": 0.878981 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6304.25, "fair_value_reference": 5169.828, "structural_low": 4820.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111264, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.0249, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.032949, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-09-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.028317, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "violet", "start": "2026-10-02", "end": "2026-10-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.32485, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 5409.5, "volume": 268, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, 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"trend": 6298.916667, "fair_value": 5115.483471, "relative_strength": -17.372694, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.161107, "energy": 60.635099, "activity_lines": [ 5469.666667, 5525.409091, 5763.392857, 6012.016129 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 5720.0, "volume": 102136, "typical_volume": 17722.4, "trend": 6244.416667, "fair_value": 5120.438525, "relative_strength": -13.03342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.810741, "energy": 35.75629, "activity_lines": [ 5596.166667, 5540.909091, 5734.619048, 5974.666667 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "close": 6005.0, "volume": 11499, "typical_volume": 18237.9, "trend": 6200.25, "fair_value": 5127.630081, "relative_strength": -3.89378, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.295405, "energy": 28.273828, "activity_lines": [ 5773.0, 5616.590909, 5739.178571, 5959.22043 ] }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "close": 6680.0, "volume": 4367, "typical_volume": 18274.8, "trend": 6206.083333, "fair_value": 5140.149194, "relative_strength": 12.447383, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 13.13984, "energy": 29.248782, "activity_lines": [ 6102.0, 5812.545455, 5815.547619, 5990.172043 ] }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "close": 8850.0, "volume": 20335, "typical_volume": 15428.0, "trend": 6304.25, "fair_value": 5169.828, "relative_strength": 45.138193, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 57.98605, "energy": 61.220593, "activity_lines": [ 7071.666667, 6387.409091, 6096.488095, 6160.747312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }