{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2524620-7e63-4c19-a3eb-284b77988c3e", "symbol": "ARGO", "name": "ARGO Properties N.V.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.277, "architecture_energy": 67.876, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.216, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 29.92, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.96, "rotation_down": 58.98, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 127.773333, 132.074545, 3640.843333, 6143.591613 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 122.4, "trend_reference": 8949.843333, "distance_from_trend": -0.986324, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9058.367308, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.986488, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.91688, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.990316, "excess_performance": -1.019217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.986324, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317761, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.986488, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.49328, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.989169, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.857191, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.990316, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.650777, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 449705, "relative_activity": 1.541808, "balance": 0.650777, "dry_up": 0.763457, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 10.74824, "annualized_volatility": 6.372089, "from_high_reference": -0.991645, "from_low_reference": 0.048843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8949.843333, "fair_value_reference": 9058.367308, "structural_low": 116.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.004696, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006431, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.160515, "worst_return": -0.321778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.041813, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.053114, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.161116, "worst_return": -0.2437, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.184518, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.124825, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.24884, "worst_return": -0.381747, "sufficient": false }, { 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135.026667, 854.241818, 5112.791905, 7368.772688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 126.6, "volume": 187037, "typical_volume": 316589.65, "trend": 9406.763333, "fair_value": 9091.666026, "relative_strength": -98.902761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.448944, "energy": 68.300492, "activity_lines": [ 131.986667, 374.781818, 4346.866667, 6742.582796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 122.4, "volume": 449705, "typical_volume": 291673.75, "trend": 8949.843333, "fair_value": 9058.367308, "relative_strength": -98.91688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.276785, "energy": 67.87564, "activity_lines": [ 127.773333, 132.074545, 3640.843333, 6143.591613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }