{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2561fe9-a87c-4592-b172-d7cda7f941b9", "symbol": "300442", "name": "Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.106, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.808, "architecture_energy": 70.469, "architecture_maturity": 14.402, "architecture_confidence": 77.24, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.91, "rotation_up": 9.33, "upward_expansion": 16.09, "deceleration": 37.19, "rotation_down": 68.61, "downward_expansion": 87.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.141334, 71.718518, 78.310953, 80.958154 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 69.75, "trend_reference": 82.547172, "distance_from_trend": -0.155029, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.895704, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.51975, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.024512, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.147623, "excess_performance": -0.155023, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.155029, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111931, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.51975, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.8231, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.010245, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.343841, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147623, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.871114, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 202137850, "relative_activity": 1.052709, "balance": 0.871114, "dry_up": 0.933961, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164859, "annualized_volatility": 0.753736, "from_high_reference": -0.371508, "from_low_reference": 0.555184 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.547172, "fair_value_reference": 45.895704, "structural_low": 57.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.076821, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.046253, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.315523, "worst_return": -0.088701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.094422, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.09654, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.684844, "worst_return": -0.029856, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.165415, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.198272, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.627075, "worst_return": -0.092471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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45.164113, "relative_strength": -4.456428, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.261092, "energy": 34.046292, "activity_lines": [ 76.422052, 78.847162, 83.587645, 83.975413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 64.800003, "volume": 183437892, "typical_volume": 204221428.65, "trend": 81.542838, "fair_value": 45.392773, "relative_strength": -4.243083, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.847465, "energy": 48.323434, "activity_lines": [ 71.739001, 75.625978, 81.598573, 82.92751 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.25, "volume": 149751062, "typical_volume": 195183715.85, "trend": 81.982172, "fair_value": 45.619784, "relative_strength": -5.215757, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.04246, "energy": 71.904972, "activity_lines": [ 67.880706, 72.807702, 79.59693, 81.747326 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.75, "volume": 202137850, "typical_volume": 192016801.3, "trend": 82.547172, "fair_value": 45.895704, "relative_strength": -1.024512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.807849, "energy": 70.468622, "activity_lines": [ 67.141334, 71.718518, 78.310953, 80.958154 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }