{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b25e7893-2a38-4610-9a4e-4956220a02ba", "symbol": "DFEA", "name": "WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETF - Acc", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 72.432, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.968, "architecture_energy": 96.136, "architecture_maturity": 34.441, "architecture_confidence": 62.711, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.98, "rotation_up": 86.25, "upward_expansion": 97.66, "deceleration": 41.83, "rotation_down": 8.36, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.364667, 25.077182, 24.823286, 24.594172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.695, "trend_reference": 24.343667, "distance_from_trend": 0.055511, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.957442, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.226056, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.32121, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.076681, "excess_performance": -0.09421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055511, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033957, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.226056, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023767, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063212, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003725, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.076681, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.179528, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2222, "relative_activity": 5.355507, "balance": 9.179528, "dry_up": 3.023018, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.010732, "annualized_volatility": 0.110575, "from_high_reference": -0.001166, "from_low_reference": 0.184374 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.343667, "fair_value_reference": 20.957442, "structural_low": 22.504999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.001857, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.004446, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.058308, "worst_return": -0.07042, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.018087, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.019687, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.065719, "worst_return": -0.044352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.072654, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.018952, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.1006, "worst_return": -0.170641, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 25.290001, "volume": 110, "typical_volume": 371.8, "trend": 24.204, "fair_value": 20.860494, "relative_strength": -4.850665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.246711, "energy": 87.079183, "activity_lines": [ 24.963667, 24.814364, 24.604309, 24.43043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.325001, "volume": 2053, "typical_volume": 412.7, "trend": 24.278, "fair_value": 20.907782, "relative_strength": -5.156547, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.866149, "energy": 91.921831, "activity_lines": [ 25.131, 24.918636, 24.699786, 24.502753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.695, "volume": 2222, "typical_volume": 414.9, "trend": 24.343667, "fair_value": 20.957442, "relative_strength": -6.32121, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.967689, "energy": 96.135764, "activity_lines": [ 25.364667, 25.077182, 24.823286, 24.594172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }