{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b27d1cde-80d8-4956-a9e1-8e3e5e5f1690",
    "symbol": "ZRE",
    "name": "BMO Equal Weight REITs Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 53.376,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.106,
    "architecture_energy": 41.985,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.791,
    "architecture_confidence": 54.533,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.89,
        "rotation_up": 45.86,
        "upward_expansion": 70.23,
        "deceleration": 62.27,
        "rotation_down": 26.52,
        "downward_expansion": 17.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.481088,
        24.521709,
        24.217183,
        23.870909
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 24.1,
    "trend_reference": 23.514333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024907,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 20.554474,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.172494,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.169835,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.034023,
    "excess_performance": -0.086398,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024907,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040032,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172494,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.006958,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061698,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01077,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034023,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.155516,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 92600,
      "relative_activity": 1.481245,
      "balance": 1.155516,
      "dry_up": 1.129329,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019906,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.125013,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034854,
      "from_low_reference": 0.141655
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.514333,
      "fair_value_reference": 20.554474,
      "structural_low": 21.63473,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.004117,
        "positive_rate": 0.44,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.44,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014849,
        "regime_survival": 0.68,
        "best_return": 0.133333,
        "worst_return": -0.089834,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.006149,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.047935,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.049165,
        "worst_return": -0.146871,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033317,
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        "worst_return": -0.172055,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.118511,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -2.033523,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 63665.0,
        "trend": 23.280724,
        "fair_value": 20.444012,
        "relative_strength": -1.0784,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.649411,
        "energy": 87.987696,
        "activity_lines": [
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          24.436845,
          23.975916,
          23.660595
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.761072,
        "volume": 50000,
        "typical_volume": 62485.0,
        "trend": 23.378981,
        "fair_value": 20.481857,
        "relative_strength": -1.382379,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.250331,
        "energy": 83.580431,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.745195,
          24.545204,
          24.095426,
          23.756101
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.530001,
        "volume": 65900,
        "typical_volume": 60985.0,
        "trend": 23.471502,
        "fair_value": 20.519628,
        "relative_strength": -1.659651,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.127129,
        "energy": 58.873711,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.686705,
          24.580596,
          24.182567,
          23.830361
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.1,
        "volume": 92600,
        "typical_volume": 62515.0,
        "trend": 23.514333,
        "fair_value": 20.554474,
        "relative_strength": -6.169835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.105949,
        "energy": 41.984572,
        "activity_lines": [
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          24.521709,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}