{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b282f4d2-bba2-4cf0-b578-40c6c4634113", "symbol": "VIVR3", "name": "Viver Incorporadora e Construtora S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.039, "architecture_energy": 69.159, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 29.85, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.78, "rotation_down": 59.93, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.674, 1.733091, 2.319619, 2.860903 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.63, "trend_reference": 3.710667, "distance_from_trend": -0.560726, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.308564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.905827, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -71.680698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.732787, "excess_performance": -0.675739, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.560726, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.313263, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.905827, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103235, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.716807, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177178, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.732787, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.319346, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33800, "relative_activity": 0.933495, "balance": 0.319346, "dry_up": 0.542007, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172723, "annualized_volatility": 0.6906, "from_high_reference": -0.854464, "from_low_reference": 0.031646 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.710667, "fair_value_reference": 17.308564, "structural_low": 1.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 48, "median_return": -0.067432, "positive_rate": 0.208333, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.088722, "regime_survival": 0.916667, "best_return": 0.393939, "worst_return": -0.471875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.216393, "positive_rate": 0.133333, "directional_follow_through": 0.866667, "median_excess_return": -0.23631, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.157895, "worst_return": -0.555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.406626, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.405179, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.517572, "worst_return": -0.712903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"down", "direction": -70.699985, "energy": 89.691575, "activity_lines": [ 1.74, 2.217273, 2.87881, 3.480323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.74, "volume": 12000, "typical_volume": 41631.5, "trend": 4.157667, "fair_value": 17.861158, "relative_strength": -72.42044, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.601892, "energy": 88.315976, "activity_lines": [ 1.720667, 2.050182, 2.724095, 3.314753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.69, "volume": 18200, "typical_volume": 38621.5, "trend": 4.007333, "fair_value": 17.673958, "relative_strength": -72.510887, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.162756, "energy": 82.009146, "activity_lines": [ 1.71, 1.913273, 2.579667, 3.155548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.67, "volume": 14500, "typical_volume": 35750.0, "trend": 3.859667, "fair_value": 17.480281, "relative_strength": -72.681207, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.766751, "energy": 69.109007, "activity_lines": [ 1.698667, 1.809273, 2.445286, 3.004753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.63, "volume": 33800, "typical_volume": 36208.0, "trend": 3.710667, "fair_value": 17.308564, "relative_strength": -71.680698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.039457, "energy": 69.159498, "activity_lines": [ 1.674, 1.733091, 2.319619, 2.860903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }