{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b285a395-bd05-47ad-adc2-3832d50069c2", "symbol": "FULT", "name": "Fulton Financial Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.408, "architecture_energy": 56.168, "architecture_maturity": 50.505, "architecture_confidence": 83.867, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.09, "rotation_up": 59.87, "upward_expansion": 82.48, "deceleration": 63.02, "rotation_down": 20.99, "downward_expansion": 9.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.399333, 24.172631, 23.227374, 22.565412 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 24.24, "trend_reference": 21.834051, "distance_from_trend": 0.110193, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.399434, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.393149, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.452523, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.075331, "excess_performance": -0.112122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.110193, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084772, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.393149, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092978, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044525, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.106846, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.075331, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.545312, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8942275, "relative_activity": 0.943692, "balance": 1.545312, "dry_up": 0.992261, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045095, "annualized_volatility": 0.235903, "from_high_reference": -0.039239, "from_low_reference": 0.488208 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.834051, "fair_value_reference": 17.399434, "structural_low": 18.816283, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.012695, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": -0.030789, "regime_survival": 0.653846, "best_return": 0.178344, "worst_return": -0.123716, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.009861, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.041601, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.179313, "worst_return": -0.116275, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.061395, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.025142, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.315219, "worst_return": -0.258747, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 9823207.4, "trend": 21.349504, "fair_value": 17.175491, "relative_strength": 11.852361, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.691595, "energy": 87.944853, "activity_lines": [ 24.251351, 23.518843, 22.539318, 22.010676 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.57, "volume": 8945919, "typical_volume": 9749214.6, "trend": 21.512076, "fair_value": 17.251414, "relative_strength": 12.394854, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.613598, "energy": 82.044261, "activity_lines": [ 24.452893, 23.839279, 22.808939, 22.21845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.33, "volume": 9233354, "typical_volume": 9660082.65, "trend": 21.680013, "fair_value": 17.324193, "relative_strength": 10.400248, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.912114, "energy": 68.241396, "activity_lines": [ 24.451333, 24.041912, 23.034013, 22.400251 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.24, "volume": 8942275, "typical_volume": 9475838.15, "trend": 21.834051, "fair_value": 17.399434, "relative_strength": 4.452523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.407533, "energy": 56.168253, "activity_lines": [ 24.399333, 24.172631, 23.227374, 22.565412 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }