{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b28eccc3-8097-4c66-ad0e-6aa5c5eda64e", "symbol": "CGEN", "name": "Compugen", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.086, "architecture_energy": 18.348, "architecture_maturity": 31.906, "architecture_confidence": 66.029, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.58, "rotation_up": 42.77, "upward_expansion": 57.63, "deceleration": 65.68, "rotation_down": 10.98, "downward_expansion": 12.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.361333, 2.298, 2.384429, 2.360495 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.41, "trend_reference": 2.282667, "distance_from_trend": 0.055783, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.786101, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.349308, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.380579, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.443114, "excess_performance": 0.25566, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.055783, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.349308, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.372732, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073806, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.283471, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.443114, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.806924, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1660339, "relative_activity": 0.847246, "balance": 0.806924, "dry_up": 0.621388, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109087, "annualized_volatility": 0.583673, "from_high_reference": -0.255023, "from_low_reference": 0.861004 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.282667, "fair_value_reference": 1.786101, "structural_low": 1.63, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.005872, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.033031, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.110526, "worst_return": -0.236364, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.042105, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.19007, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.006061, "worst_return": -0.39902, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.1, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.296089, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.352941, "worst_return": -0.187879, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.580749, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.290964, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.803922, "worst_return": 0.357576, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.13198, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.035294, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035556, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.354086, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.072727, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.122137, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.108108, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.150602, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.13986, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.013514, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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2.404143, 2.312688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.39, "volume": 1509339, "typical_volume": 2069823.3, "trend": 2.185333, "fair_value": 1.754883, "relative_strength": 7.945817, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.531569, "energy": 14.357455, "activity_lines": [ 2.226667, 2.277636, 2.407619, 2.327742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.37, "volume": 1137021, "typical_volume": 2081750.5, "trend": 2.213667, "fair_value": 1.762447, "relative_strength": 11.229798, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.912136, "energy": 10.296833, "activity_lines": [ 2.296, 2.272364, 2.406095, 2.339656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.28, "volume": 1077094, "typical_volume": 1970379.55, "trend": 2.238333, "fair_value": 1.769883, "relative_strength": 8.319761, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.644139, "energy": 16.117389, "activity_lines": [ 2.313333, 2.260364, 2.393333, 2.343935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.35, "volume": 996450, "typical_volume": 1937916.1, "trend": 2.265, "fair_value": 1.777767, "relative_strength": 10.52816, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.11462, "energy": 18.383633, "activity_lines": [ 2.336, 2.269636, 2.386286, 2.35114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.41, "volume": 1660339, "typical_volume": 1959688.45, "trend": 2.282667, "fair_value": 1.786101, "relative_strength": 7.380579, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.086196, "energy": 18.34848, "activity_lines": [ 2.361333, 2.298, 2.384429, 2.360495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }