{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2902422-e2d2-4ae9-a2c1-1732b321b6b3", "symbol": "SAUCE", "name": "Thaitheparos Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.98, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.587, "architecture_energy": 47.734, "architecture_maturity": 80.051, "architecture_confidence": 74.277, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.56, "rotation_up": 52.84, "upward_expansion": 80.05, "deceleration": 60.15, "rotation_down": 24.44, "downward_expansion": 6.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.333333, 41.209091, 40.931219, 40.552003 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 41.5, "trend_reference": 39.965953, "distance_from_trend": 0.038384, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.661005, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.131993, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.709818, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.077781, "excess_performance": -0.114544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038384, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037584, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.131993, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003059, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067098, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000175, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077781, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.810512, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18500, "relative_activity": 0.523931, "balance": 2.810512, "dry_up": 1.008213, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015292, "annualized_volatility": 0.082212, "from_high_reference": -0.005988, "from_low_reference": 0.180427 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.965953, "fair_value_reference": 36.661005, "structural_low": 37.309219, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.006453, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": 0.00246, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.12782, "worst_return": -0.04375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.013245, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.003043, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.210882, "worst_return": -0.031056, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.075862, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.0194, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.230413, "worst_return": -0.040777, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "up", "direction": 45.092532, "energy": 35.243964, "activity_lines": [ 40.966667, 40.972727, 40.630803, 40.217683 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.25, "volume": 45700, "typical_volume": 37475.0, "trend": 39.686568, "fair_value": 36.55729, "relative_strength": -9.396083, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.040284, "energy": 39.021819, "activity_lines": [ 41.066667, 41.036364, 40.726259, 40.327538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.5, "volume": 7700, "typical_volume": 35290.0, "trend": 39.834233, "fair_value": 36.614063, "relative_strength": -7.541506, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.770602, "energy": 46.174344, "activity_lines": [ 41.216667, 41.131818, 40.833592, 40.444534 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.5, "volume": 18500, "typical_volume": 35310.0, "trend": 39.965953, "fair_value": 36.661005, "relative_strength": -6.709818, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.587313, "energy": 47.733554, "activity_lines": [ 41.333333, 41.209091, 40.931219, 40.552003 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }