{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b29aeb83-88fa-47b3-bf7a-8e7f83c29e12",
    "symbol": "IFC",
    "name": "Intact Financial Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 49.633,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.3,
    "architecture_energy": 28.912,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.704,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.388,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.78,
        "rotation_up": 34.73,
        "upward_expansion": 66.32,
        "deceleration": 85.42,
        "rotation_down": 26.91,
        "downward_expansion": 16.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        273.416046
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 279.390015,
    "trend_reference": 266.795307,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047207,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 249.499024,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.119804,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -7.970221,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.077311,
    "excess_performance": -0.04311,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047207,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007588,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119804,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070643,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079702,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104637,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077311,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.810846,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1652200,
      "relative_activity": 1.013157,
      "balance": 0.810846,
      "dry_up": 1.180197,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044515,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.189086,
      "from_high_reference": -0.085526,
      "from_low_reference": 0.151528
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 249.499024,
      "structural_low": 242.869995,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.004903,
        "positive_rate": 0.567568,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.567568,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001644,
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        "best_return": 0.122625,
        "worst_return": -0.098167,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
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        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
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        "worst_return": -0.072998,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.052877,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 246.994848,
        "relative_strength": -2.248275,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 86.951594,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 294.019989,
        "volume": 1268500,
        "typical_volume": 1740235.0,
        "trend": 266.624625,
        "fair_value": 247.671176,
        "relative_strength": -1.748441,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.164132,
        "energy": 86.328832,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 293.459991,
        "volume": 1637400,
        "typical_volume": 1662895.0,
        "trend": 266.999308,
        "fair_value": 248.350949,
        "relative_strength": -1.640215,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 66.512698,
        "energy": 79.596935,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 275.25,
        "volume": 3140300,
        "typical_volume": 1656240.0,
        "trend": 266.722246,
        "fair_value": 248.922422,
        "relative_strength": -6.837394,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.099377,
        "energy": 43.777028,
        "activity_lines": [
          288.010661,
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          278.760427,
          272.59877
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 279.390015,
        "volume": 1652200,
        "typical_volume": 1630745.0,
        "trend": 266.795307,
        "fair_value": 249.499024,
        "relative_strength": -7.970221,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.29994,
        "energy": 28.912476,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}