{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2a0687b-96cc-461b-bb49-d9e4e393889b", "symbol": "TCH-F102", "name": "Tachlit Indices Mutual Fund Management Ltd. - Tachlit SAL (4A) MSCI World U.S.D Hedged", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.417, "architecture_energy": 63.876, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.149, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.19, "rotation_up": 27.96, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 50.26, "downward_expansion": 70.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 119.16, 118.496364, 3101.568095, 5148.174839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 121.9, "trend_reference": 7474.04, "distance_from_trend": -0.98369, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8790.302564, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.986132, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.773181, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.988847, "excess_performance": -1.017747, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.98369, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.323575, "read": "Falling" 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115.2, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.010109, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.001555, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.095898, "worst_return": -0.080645, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.004429, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026293, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.160663, "worst_return": -0.063253, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.060727, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.05095, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.238272, "worst_return": -0.080685, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }