{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2b87029-b69f-4a0e-b80c-cf6822d6d826", "symbol": "3508", "name": "Ways Technical Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.272, "architecture_energy": 60.31, "architecture_maturity": 66.616, "architecture_confidence": 91.442, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.08, "rotation_up": 29.63, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 54.6, "rotation_down": 48.12, "downward_expansion": 83.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.363333, 17.438182, 18.626667, 21.901075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.25, "trend_reference": 25.42, "distance_from_trend": -0.242722, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.697436, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250898, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -45.913375, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.45, "excess_performance": -0.891372, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.242722, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060027, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.250898, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021894, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.459134, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014645, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.45, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.293468, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 540903, "relative_activity": 0.285482, "balance": 1.293468, "dry_up": 0.245106, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104496, "annualized_volatility": 0.824641, "from_high_reference": -0.655635, "from_low_reference": 0.305085 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.42, "fair_value_reference": 25.697436, "structural_low": 14.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.006395, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015287, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.687657, "worst_return": -0.167155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.015504, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.059612, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 1.577114, "worst_return": -0.145773, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.052326, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.051468, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.237581, "worst_return": -0.155977, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.080178, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.083643, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.16, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.065728, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043478, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025478, "active": false }, { "regime": 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-55.262402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.94187, "energy": 87.950777, "activity_lines": [ 16.963334, 17.772727, 20.297143, 23.516129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.0, "volume": 474297, "typical_volume": 4118971.3, "trend": 25.793333, "fair_value": 25.863461, "relative_strength": -53.493713, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.345323, "energy": 86.524743, "activity_lines": [ 16.496667, 17.328182, 19.479524, 22.869247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.1, "volume": 273850, "typical_volume": 2590670.2, "trend": 25.563333, "fair_value": 25.769872, "relative_strength": -50.86291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.94244, "energy": 83.275237, "activity_lines": [ 16.53, 17.158182, 18.877381, 22.308387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.25, "volume": 540903, "typical_volume": 1894699.35, "trend": 25.42, "fair_value": 25.697436, "relative_strength": -45.913375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.271823, "energy": 60.310032, "activity_lines": [ 17.363333, 17.438182, 18.626667, 21.901075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }