{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b2baee31-125e-47a0-a047-66824f7a5ff1",
    "symbol": "ALTL",
    "name": "PACER FDS TR LUNT LARGE CAP ALTENATOR ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 51.991,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 18.323,
    "architecture_energy": 19.869,
    "architecture_maturity": 61.968,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.861,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.21,
        "rotation_up": 17.01,
        "upward_expansion": 50.77,
        "deceleration": 93.86,
        "rotation_down": 43.79,
        "downward_expansion": 23.77
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.76796,
        47.604535,
        47.443402,
        46.828188
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 47.1838,
    "trend_reference": 46.045919,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.024712,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.066981,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.239494,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.172612,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.053407,
    "excess_performance": -0.072218,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024712,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040002,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.239494,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017227,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051726,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048686,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053407,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.58963,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 77682,
      "relative_activity": 2.532491,
      "balance": 0.58963,
      "dry_up": 1.92271,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054622,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.199648,
      "from_high_reference": -0.088588,
      "from_low_reference": 0.224659
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.045919,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.066981,
      "structural_low": 43.303778,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.005513,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021865,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.055162,
        "worst_return": -0.105176,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.055916,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016915,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.06839,
        "worst_return": -0.080241,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.12468,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021771,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.138291,
        "worst_return": 0.006048,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.005405,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102539,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.005405,
        "worst_return": -0.005405,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.00192,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018792,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.059751,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.074766,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.037396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.005421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.051163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": -0.015545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.028794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.046656,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.022695,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016616,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 32120.7,
        "trend": 44.098732,
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        "energy": 69.330029,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 30726.35,
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        "relative_strength": 2.610829,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 27414.5,
        "trend": 44.411848,
        "fair_value": 37.384488,
        "relative_strength": 0.347748,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 71.149921,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 26884.05,
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        "relative_strength": 3.463458,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 45.185664,
        "fair_value": 37.66059,
        "relative_strength": 5.969068,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.999616,
        "energy": 67.10255,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 45.38318,
        "fair_value": 37.741939,
        "relative_strength": 1.467192,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 27383.1,
        "trend": 45.595482,
        "fair_value": 37.81836,
        "relative_strength": 1.286781,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.883402,
        "energy": 48.743388,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.4413,
        "volume": 123127,
        "typical_volume": 32198.6,
        "trend": 45.720442,
        "fair_value": 37.877151,
        "relative_strength": -2.951516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.544388,
        "energy": 25.397513,
        "activity_lines": [
          48.361473,
          48.562097,
          47.424374,
          46.688734
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.4126,
        "volume": 14483,
        "typical_volume": 28167.2,
        "trend": 45.831169,
        "fair_value": 37.931301,
        "relative_strength": -2.434939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.661642,
        "energy": 18.701015,
        "activity_lines": [
          47.4976,
          48.225765,
          47.42205,
          46.73339
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 46.06,
        "volume": 20618,
        "typical_volume": 27818.9,
        "trend": 45.943263,
        "fair_value": 37.993466,
        "relative_strength": -4.195839,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.908347,
        "energy": 17.060972,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.82548,
          47.807108,
          47.382219,
          46.748153
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 47.1838,
        "volume": 77682,
        "typical_volume": 30674.15,
        "trend": 46.045919,
        "fair_value": 38.066981,
        "relative_strength": -5.172612,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.323087,
        "energy": 19.868639,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.76796,
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          47.443402,
          46.828188
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}