{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2c00c38-8c26-4d9c-a6aa-ac60da580f5e", "symbol": "D1EX34", "name": "DexCom, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.001, "architecture_energy": 81.589, "architecture_maturity": 19.039, "architecture_confidence": 82.169, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.33, "rotation_up": 76.89, "upward_expansion": 90.89, "deceleration": 45.87, "rotation_down": 10.11, "downward_expansion": 17.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.123333, 7.818909, 7.397667, 7.212946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.63, "trend_reference": 7.114667, "distance_from_trend": 0.212987, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.145962, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.056414, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.242003, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.182192, "excess_performance": 0.23924, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.212987, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035112, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.056414, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.323418, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.14242, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.499908, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.182192, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 899.528736, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3053, "relative_activity": 0.321834, "balance": 899.528736, "dry_up": 0.882989, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061235, "annualized_volatility": 0.493492, "from_high_reference": -0.037904, "from_low_reference": 0.50087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.114667, "fair_value_reference": 9.145962, "structural_low": 5.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.036261, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.037575, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.03863, "worst_return": -0.238327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.107712, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.151119, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.088703, "worst_return": -0.365872, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.091677, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.147515, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.000806, "worst_return": -0.309623, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"direction": 52.202596, "energy": 44.164042, "activity_lines": [ 7.403333, 7.322364, 6.964857, 6.962796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.78, "volume": 26203, "typical_volume": 10012.5, "trend": 7.045333, "fair_value": 9.219487, "relative_strength": -0.469806, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.382323, "energy": 43.913797, "activity_lines": [ 7.524667, 7.447273, 7.053286, 7.010946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.17, "volume": 36, "typical_volume": 9695.2, "trend": 7.035333, "fair_value": 9.181731, "relative_strength": -7.147953, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.119342, "energy": 30.716902, "activity_lines": [ 7.428, 7.427273, 7.082762, 7.018989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.48, "volume": 4213, "typical_volume": 9634.55, "trend": 7.068333, "fair_value": 9.161026, "relative_strength": 8.247082, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.298023, "energy": 69.756979, "activity_lines": [ 7.790667, 7.620727, 7.237095, 7.112194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.63, "volume": 3053, "typical_volume": 9486.25, "trend": 7.114667, "fair_value": 9.145962, "relative_strength": 14.242003, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.001277, "energy": 81.589363, "activity_lines": [ 8.123333, 7.818909, 7.397667, 7.212946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }