{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b2c1f401-698b-4e74-b4ab-87d2f18faebd",
    "symbol": "GCSC",
    "name": "Guardian Canadian Diversified Core Equity ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 82.159,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.502,
    "architecture_energy": 69.604,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.915,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.371,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.91,
        "rotation_up": 74.77,
        "upward_expansion": 86.68,
        "deceleration": 61.88,
        "rotation_down": 16.1,
        "downward_expansion": 11.01
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.814666,
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        33.725443
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 35.349998,
    "trend_reference": 33.282267,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062127,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.046382,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307014,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.953298,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.100495,
    "excess_performance": -0.019926,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062127,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030302,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.307014,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026779,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.029533,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024565,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100495,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01526,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.102746,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003102,
      "from_low_reference": 0.188216
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.282267,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.046382,
      "structural_low": 31.6,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 36,
        "median_return": 0.006638,
        "positive_rate": 0.638889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.638889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000925,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.046862,
        "worst_return": -0.041658,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.692308,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006336,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.122037,
        "worst_return": -0.045644,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.018381,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.047641,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-06-07",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042831,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "fair_value": 25.718507,
        "relative_strength": -4.544185,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 64.176833,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 25.80326,
        "relative_strength": -5.025998,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 69.628839,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 32.147849,
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        "relative_strength": -5.710466,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 32.211199,
        "fair_value": 26.054925,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 69.840121,
        "energy": 45.846472,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 2800.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 26.232944,
        "relative_strength": -3.708918,
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        "energy": 67.184826,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 33.918781,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2795.0,
        "trend": 32.51731,
        "fair_value": 26.322191,
        "relative_strength": -4.665231,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 73.704052,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -5.51989,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 2685.0,
        "trend": 32.691506,
        "fair_value": 26.499825,
        "relative_strength": -3.978752,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.984027,
        "energy": 79.174236,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 34.450001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2675.0,
        "trend": 32.783875,
        "fair_value": 26.592436,
        "relative_strength": -3.414359,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.474897,
        "energy": 84.142062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 34.57,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2660.0,
        "trend": 32.8872,
        "fair_value": 26.683911,
        "relative_strength": -3.032376,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.176199,
        "energy": 88.188225,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.259229,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 34.91,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2240.0,
        "trend": 33.001858,
        "fair_value": 26.776152,
        "relative_strength": -1.758387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.600884,
        "energy": 94.8871,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.524655,
          34.213613,
          33.726163,
          33.411697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2015.0,
        "trend": 33.07576,
        "fair_value": 26.861637,
        "relative_strength": -4.363063,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.736298,
        "energy": 80.356851,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.420667,
          34.225447,
          33.793659,
          33.476093
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.77,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1765.0,
        "trend": 33.179316,
        "fair_value": 26.952735,
        "relative_strength": -1.59865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.4429,
        "energy": 64.551334,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.544667,
          34.354233,
          33.928441,
          33.585399
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1715.0,
        "trend": 33.282267,
        "fair_value": 27.046382,
        "relative_strength": -2.953298,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.501906,
        "energy": 69.603808,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.814666,
          34.564839,
          34.105993,
          33.725443
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}