{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2c454c9-e523-4bb1-950c-c50633ac4158", "symbol": "SSG", "name": "Shaver Shop Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.308, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 39.04, "architecture_energy": 57.221, "architecture_maturity": 8.266, "architecture_confidence": 72.554, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.57, "rotation_up": 74.64, "upward_expansion": 57.96, "deceleration": 13.14, "rotation_down": 14.76, "downward_expansion": 25.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.436333, 1.407, 1.375333, 1.376749 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 1.465, "trend_reference": 1.390826, "distance_from_trend": 0.053331, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.17725, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244426, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.365862, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.011459, "excess_performance": -0.052247, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.053331, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010283, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.244426, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059784, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.003659, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022906, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.011459, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.072666, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 547137, "relative_activity": 1.191286, "balance": 1.072666, "dry_up": 0.830593, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039643, "annualized_volatility": 0.222019, "from_high_reference": -0.039917, "from_low_reference": 0.186235 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.390826, "fair_value_reference": 1.17725, "structural_low": 1.235, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.024954, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.014308, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.040723, "worst_return": -0.046075, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.001106, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011649, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.002272, "worst_return": -0.004483, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.09652, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056705, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125775, "worst_return": 0.067266, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"direction": -22.518189, "energy": 18.956228, "activity_lines": [ 1.347667, 1.331182, 1.343957, 1.366135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.405, "volume": 234480, "typical_volume": 545014.35, "trend": 1.392795, "fair_value": 1.1629, "relative_strength": 0.87865, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.821564, "energy": 19.469023, "activity_lines": [ 1.374, 1.344909, 1.347745, 1.366944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.395, "volume": 281053, "typical_volume": 530060.95, "trend": 1.392629, "fair_value": 1.166428, "relative_strength": 0.117516, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.450999, "energy": 21.4218, "activity_lines": [ 1.386, 1.356364, 1.350857, 1.367086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.415, "volume": 306623, "typical_volume": 502606.35, "trend": 1.391193, "fair_value": 1.169831, "relative_strength": 1.662837, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.50606, "energy": 36.051683, "activity_lines": [ 1.399333, 1.370455, 1.356405, 1.368529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.445, "volume": 391095, "typical_volume": 476148.95, "trend": 1.391403, "fair_value": 1.173501, "relative_strength": 1.399292, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.63611, "energy": 49.877298, "activity_lines": [ 1.417667, 1.387909, 1.365095, 1.372 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.465, "volume": 547137, "typical_volume": 459282.6, "trend": 1.390826, "fair_value": 1.17725, "relative_strength": -0.365862, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.040408, "energy": 57.221062, "activity_lines": [ 1.436333, 1.407, 1.375333, 1.376749 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }