{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2d60137-3d6a-412e-816c-71f9a35a57a5", "symbol": "603059", "name": "Perfect Group Corp., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.777, "architecture_energy": 59.689, "architecture_maturity": 47.694, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.04, "rotation_up": 25.32, "upward_expansion": 11.02, "deceleration": 53.3, "rotation_down": 53.23, "downward_expansion": 82.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.724339, 24.120533, 26.344097, 28.366455 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 24.66, "trend_reference": 30.956137, "distance_from_trend": -0.203389, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.52398, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03385, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.243435, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.338697, "excess_performance": -0.295493, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203389, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064835, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.03385, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.429963, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212434, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.237648, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.338697, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.352731, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6004224, "relative_activity": 1.031146, "balance": 0.352731, "dry_up": 1.04108, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09318, "annualized_volatility": 0.449769, "from_high_reference": -0.500348, "from_low_reference": 0.14965 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.956137, "fair_value_reference": 25.52398, "structural_low": 21.450001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.037455, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.020488, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.130521, "worst_return": -0.083489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.067452, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.040461, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.261261, "worst_return": -0.067118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.015234, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.020934, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.118047, "worst_return": -0.076633, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.423499, "energy": 81.558655, "activity_lines": [ 24.911013, 26.045923, 28.724604, 30.450533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.08, "volume": 5774925, "typical_volume": 6008868.75, "trend": 31.652137, "fair_value": 25.503276, "relative_strength": -24.007307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.530753, "energy": 84.294023, "activity_lines": [ 24.19674, 25.231484, 28.004918, 29.880524 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.99, "volume": 5404610, "typical_volume": 5757304.75, "trend": 31.359137, "fair_value": 25.502963, "relative_strength": -28.235007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.339625, "energy": 82.990103, "activity_lines": [ 23.349135, 24.438319, 27.253184, 29.257161 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.030001, "volume": 7064524, "typical_volume": 5806942.4, "trend": 31.136804, "fair_value": 25.513131, "relative_strength": -21.70494, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.119044, "energy": 67.031411, "activity_lines": [ 23.430145, 24.16988, 26.748307, 28.784313 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.66, "volume": 6004224, "typical_volume": 5822867.45, "trend": 30.956137, "fair_value": 25.52398, "relative_strength": -21.243435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.777211, "energy": 59.689451, "activity_lines": [ 23.724339, 24.120533, 26.344097, 28.366455 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }