{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2dab144-a6e4-4f5c-bec6-eeb77f51c345", "symbol": "Q1UA34", "name": "Quanta Services, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.976, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.167, "architecture_energy": 18.789, "architecture_maturity": 73.248, "architecture_confidence": 69.491, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.44, "rotation_up": 15.95, "upward_expansion": 41.75, "deceleration": 87.93, "rotation_down": 39.79, "downward_expansion": 33.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 278.400006, 283.077511, 287.518624, 278.872046 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 283.76001, "trend_reference": 263.20395, "distance_from_trend": 0.078099, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 157.492972, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.801731, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 19.181554, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.363764, "excess_performance": 0.420812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078099, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12871, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.801731, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.389591, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.191816, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105758, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.363764, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.130408, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6909, "relative_activity": 5.64046, "balance": 0.130408, "dry_up": 1.656054, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053857, "annualized_volatility": 0.349123, "from_high_reference": -0.131052, "from_low_reference": 0.683661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 263.20395, "fair_value_reference": 157.492972, "structural_low": 208.071259, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": 0.024139, "regime_survival": 0.411765, "best_return": 0.241085, "worst_return": -0.233835, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.092371, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.04826, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.661349, "worst_return": -0.183773, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.193249, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.063121, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.832192, "worst_return": -0.041757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 266.0, "volume": 207, "typical_volume": 847.85, "trend": 257.271484, "fair_value": 154.725747, "relative_strength": 11.595685, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -5.44071, "energy": 23.099816, "activity_lines": [ 275.687248, 285.446269, 286.662743, 275.595799 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 284.630005, "volume": 699, "typical_volume": 880.4, "trend": 260.336706, "fair_value": 156.112148, "relative_strength": 16.445818, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.530461, "energy": 22.23083, "activity_lines": [ 276.810671, 284.189903, 287.212266, 277.360865 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 283.76001, "volume": 6909, "typical_volume": 1224.9, "trend": 263.20395, "fair_value": 157.492972, "relative_strength": 19.181554, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.16701, "energy": 18.788719, "activity_lines": [ 278.400006, 283.077511, 287.518624, 278.872046 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }