{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b2dce943-32d1-4874-a0f9-82081ea78ed7",
    "symbol": "1541",
    "name": "CHANG TYPE Industrial Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 85.433,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -40.014,
    "architecture_energy": 22.961,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.882,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.854,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.35,
        "rotation_up": 23.6,
        "upward_expansion": 17.88,
        "deceleration": 42.02,
        "rotation_down": 37.33,
        "downward_expansion": 58.88
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        21.71,
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        21.893333,
        22.566882
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 21.6,
    "trend_reference": 23.453333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.079022,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 27.613289,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.217768,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -36.727545,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.120163,
    "excess_performance": -0.561535,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.079022,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030052,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217768,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060157,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.367275,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09663,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120163,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.814061,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 86050,
      "relative_activity": 0.413579,
      "balance": 2.814061,
      "dry_up": 0.52268,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.263327,
      "from_high_reference": -0.299838,
      "from_low_reference": 0.116279
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 23.453333,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.613289,
      "structural_low": 19.35,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.009174,
        "positive_rate": 0.413793,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.551724,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013381,
        "regime_survival": 0.758621,
        "best_return": 0.178631,
        "worst_return": -0.152893,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.079774,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.047377,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": -0.098446,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.23208,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 386962.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 398162.75,
        "trend": 24.36,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 404815.65,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 254614.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 37.276235,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -41.547335,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -55.704914,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 159204,
        "typical_volume": 225647.5,
        "trend": 23.661667,
        "fair_value": 27.926044,
        "relative_strength": -34.937752,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.98596,
        "energy": 28.455903,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.706667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.049999,
        "volume": 90782,
        "typical_volume": 218386.1,
        "trend": 23.61,
        "fair_value": 27.84507,
        "relative_strength": -35.30386,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.280226,
        "energy": 23.969507,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.82,
          21.726364,
          22.265238,
          22.94129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.450001,
        "volume": 123007,
        "typical_volume": 213769.2,
        "trend": 23.543333,
        "fair_value": 27.770436,
        "relative_strength": -35.296669,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.203577,
        "energy": 24.707411,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.73,
          21.693637,
          22.108572,
          22.801936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 21.799999,
        "volume": 135160,
        "typical_volume": 211173.75,
        "trend": 23.5,
        "fair_value": 27.690256,
        "relative_strength": -34.878733,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.779382,
        "energy": 20.310232,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.756666,
          21.710909,
          22.002143,
          22.689462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 21.6,
        "volume": 86050,
        "typical_volume": 208061.65,
        "trend": 23.453333,
        "fair_value": 27.613289,
        "relative_strength": -36.727545,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.014388,
        "energy": 22.960905,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.71,
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          21.893333,
          22.566882
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}