{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b2df1c3b-f169-493f-95a7-cb06b1e0b68d",
    "symbol": "MMB",
    "name": "Lagardere SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 60.077,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 25.688,
    "architecture_energy": 23.283,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.582,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.846,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.83,
        "rotation_up": 26.85,
        "upward_expansion": 53.3,
        "deceleration": 85.45,
        "rotation_down": 41.69,
        "downward_expansion": 25.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        18.465333,
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        18.643058,
        18.472737
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 18.84,
    "trend_reference": 18.298476,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.029594,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.829512,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000557,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.583606,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.054707,
    "excess_performance": 0.001396,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.029594,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014981,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000557,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039746,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045836,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0025,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054707,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.144057,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 91246,
      "relative_activity": 0.984541,
      "balance": 1.144057,
      "dry_up": 0.952786,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051037,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.237683,
      "from_high_reference": -0.076471,
      "from_low_reference": 0.130392
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.298476,
      "fair_value_reference": 18.829512,
      "structural_low": 16.66678,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.48,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.48,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00478,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.08076,
        "worst_return": -0.148919,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.006394,
        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.077295,
        "worst_return": -0.3751,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.078475,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.094427,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.286458,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.205985,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "fair_value": 18.900994,
        "relative_strength": -6.411438,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "fair_value": 18.865525,
        "relative_strength": -4.619237,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 87110.55,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.369922,
        "energy": 22.671508,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 89665.65,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 18.0423,
        "fair_value": 18.843265,
        "relative_strength": -4.400237,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 67739,
        "typical_volume": 89093.45,
        "trend": 18.06068,
        "fair_value": 18.836607,
        "relative_strength": -2.984331,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 64.359149,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 86223.15,
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        "relative_strength": 1.592606,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 77.632475,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 89758.85,
        "trend": 18.259375,
        "fair_value": 18.845328,
        "relative_strength": 4.391833,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 79.673275,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 18.620001,
        "volume": 84405,
        "typical_volume": 90875.8,
        "trend": 18.278829,
        "fair_value": 18.842141,
        "relative_strength": -2.523646,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.359988,
        "energy": 56.15992,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.353334,
          19.1,
          18.685731,
          18.48373
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 17.74,
        "volume": 76260,
        "typical_volume": 88519.25,
        "trend": 18.275379,
        "fair_value": 18.835047,
        "relative_strength": -7.176681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.680761,
        "energy": 19.026828,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.806667,
          18.909091,
          18.626268,
          18.448967
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.08,
        "volume": 101301,
        "typical_volume": 90958.95,
        "trend": 18.27619,
        "fair_value": 18.83389,
        "relative_strength": -6.534487,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.3365,
        "energy": 15.735688,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.474667,
          18.780727,
          18.600781,
          18.436362
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 18.84,
        "volume": 91246,
        "typical_volume": 92678.75,
        "trend": 18.298476,
        "fair_value": 18.829512,
        "relative_strength": -4.583606,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.688149,
        "energy": 23.282807,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.465333,
          18.782182,
          18.643058,
          18.472737
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}