{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b2e6be24-a587-4ac3-976e-fd1616c31896", "symbol": "WWI", "name": "West Wits Mining Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.977, "architecture_energy": 63.618, "architecture_maturity": 48.931, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 24.68, "upward_expansion": 11.92, "deceleration": 50.19, "rotation_down": 58.39, "downward_expansion": 85.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.390333, 0.405818, 0.45831, 0.515968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.42, "trend_reference": 0.600167, "distance_from_trend": -0.300194, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.295833, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.419718, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -30.033298, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.432432, "excess_performance": -0.496138, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.300194, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094999, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.419718, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.8181, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.300333, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.475931, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.432432, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.142984, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3038468, "relative_activity": 0.805589, "balance": 0.142984, "dry_up": 0.913099, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136905, "annualized_volatility": 0.584198, "from_high_reference": -0.58, "from_low_reference": 0.615385 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.600167, "fair_value_reference": 0.295833, "structural_low": 0.355, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.054094, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.607143, "median_excess_return": -0.045022, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.583333, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.008692, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.392047, "worst_return": -0.421053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.156715, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.076923, "worst_return": -0.484848, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.005564, "energy": 85.08244, "activity_lines": [ 0.431333, 0.462545, 0.521262, 0.580312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.38, "volume": 2762161, "typical_volume": 4759164.9, "trend": 0.641167, "fair_value": 0.291923, "relative_strength": -32.3875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.133595, "energy": 84.499527, "activity_lines": [ 0.411, 0.441818, 0.501952, 0.563032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.37, "volume": 3739418, "typical_volume": 4378111.9, "trend": 0.6325, "fair_value": 0.293141, "relative_strength": -34.315694, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.692324, "energy": 77.949764, "activity_lines": [ 0.393333, 0.423364, 0.483833, 0.545538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.37, "volume": 4235820, "typical_volume": 4198521.25, "trend": 0.615833, "fair_value": 0.294295, "relative_strength": -36.136679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.261792, "energy": 78.594104, "activity_lines": [ 0.382333, 0.408455, 0.46781, 0.528602 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.42, "volume": 3038468, "typical_volume": 3771732.5, "trend": 0.600167, "fair_value": 0.295833, "relative_strength": -30.033298, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.976622, "energy": 63.618058, "activity_lines": [ 0.390333, 0.405818, 0.45831, 0.515968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }