{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3053189-45ad-4e1a-a136-3261cd62dca7", "symbol": "PGY", "name": "Pagaya Technologies Ltd.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 73.513, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 81.012, "architecture_energy": 71.902, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.717, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.16, "rotation_up": 70.16, "upward_expansion": 88.3, "deceleration": 46.43, "rotation_down": 12.81, "downward_expansion": 14.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.896, 17.927818, 16.467857, 15.514774 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.28, "trend_reference": 15.177667, "distance_from_trend": 0.40206, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.697436, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274447, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.404801, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.141631, "excess_performance": -0.045823, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.40206, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124323, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.274447, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.378143, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124048, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.313623, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141631, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.865504, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18469729, "relative_activity": 1.046955, "balance": 1.865504, "dry_up": 0.863625, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.116847, "annualized_volatility": 0.865919, "from_high_reference": -0.527006, "from_low_reference": 1.046154 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.177667, "fair_value_reference": 16.697436, "structural_low": 10.4, "invalidation": "A 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17000811.35, "trend": 15.436333, "fair_value": 16.823654, "relative_strength": -32.633628, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.145695, "energy": 42.396076, "activity_lines": [ 16.898, 16.425091, 15.368857, 14.883957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.27, "volume": 21418934, "typical_volume": 17396391.15, "trend": 15.336, "fair_value": 16.764872, "relative_strength": -17.61252, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.806234, "energy": 50.717913, "activity_lines": [ 17.675333, 17.052909, 15.842429, 15.13129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.28, "volume": 18469729, "typical_volume": 17641379.45, "trend": 15.177667, "fair_value": 16.697436, "relative_strength": -12.404801, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.01226, "energy": 71.901533, "activity_lines": [ 18.896, 17.927818, 16.467857, 15.514774 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }