{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b30b58ee-fc91-4e16-8bae-32868d290b4b",
    "symbol": "605499",
    "name": "Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -46.928,
    "architecture_energy": 33.654,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.226,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.01,
        "rotation_up": 27.23,
        "upward_expansion": 16.88,
        "deceleration": 46.99,
        "rotation_down": 31.97,
        "downward_expansion": 62.22
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        127.028666,
        125.326363,
        131.343759,
        140.682865
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 122.800003,
    "trend_reference": 155.75755,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.211595,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 157.010249,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.217885,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -31.889106,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.350453,
    "excess_performance": -0.307249,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211595,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.14196,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.217885,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.201395,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.318891,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011204,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.350453,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.851311,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 60648319,
      "relative_activity": 2.141119,
      "balance": 0.851311,
      "dry_up": 1.717914,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.106854,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.414764,
      "from_high_reference": -0.48742,
      "from_low_reference": 0.113327
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 155.75755,
      "fair_value_reference": 157.010249,
      "structural_low": 110.300003,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.014478,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041495,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.074028,
        "worst_return": -0.138633,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.020431,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039428,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.358664,
        "worst_return": -0.219807,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.013533,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.096005,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.425827,
        "worst_return": -0.275029,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.220032,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.313492,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.220032,
        "worst_return": 0.220032,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031328,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.078147,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028845,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054115,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.028505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.209138,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.030777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.13702,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.112118,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.07799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.014095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.03725,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 156.642276,
        "relative_strength": -29.567563,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 135.899994,
        "volume": 60166834,
        "typical_volume": 25908911.45,
        "trend": 158.40063,
        "fair_value": 156.8733,
        "relative_strength": -23.431678,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.072524,
        "energy": 36.623068,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 122.800003,
        "volume": 60648319,
        "typical_volume": 28325521.5,
        "trend": 155.75755,
        "fair_value": 157.010249,
        "relative_strength": -31.889106,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}