{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b319244a-3799-4190-a65b-4e6550960529", "symbol": "WELL", "name": "WELL Health Technologies Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 94.306, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -10.769, "architecture_energy": 16.913, "architecture_maturity": 8.051, "architecture_confidence": 45.986, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.16, "rotation_up": 18.72, "upward_expansion": 16.34, "deceleration": 59.99, "rotation_down": 52.38, "downward_expansion": 39.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.105333, 4.179091, 4.217905, 4.180323 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.15, "trend_reference": 4.140667, "distance_from_trend": 0.002254, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.460449, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.0696, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.067883, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.024691, "excess_performance": -0.09573, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002254, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019283, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.0696, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007915, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.150679, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004046, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.024691, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.577979, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8201600, "relative_activity": 1.587803, "balance": 1.577979, "dry_up": 1.191036, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073865, "annualized_volatility": 0.364628, "from_high_reference": -0.317434, "from_low_reference": 0.159218 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.140667, "fair_value_reference": 4.460449, "structural_low": 3.63, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.030233, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.230769, "median_excess_return": -0.046965, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.244048, "worst_return": -0.163636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.098383, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.138266, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.681548, "worst_return": -0.340081, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.174546, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.140929, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.380952, "worst_return": -0.439353, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.367542, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.18932, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.371758, "worst_return": -0.556604, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.186667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.220165, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.157051, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.193159, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.18481, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.097192, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.285192, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.031169, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074074, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.080685, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.053846, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125581, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.079121, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04798, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.26, "volume": 4292500, "typical_volume": 5256815.0, "trend": 4.643667, "fair_value": 5.475833, "relative_strength": 8.013956, "stage": 3, "regime": 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35.659304, "energy": 16.877487, "activity_lines": [ 4.301333, 4.318545, 4.225571, 4.176215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 4.41, "volume": 5218700, "typical_volume": 5876335.0, "trend": 4.134333, "fair_value": 4.472308, "relative_strength": -9.946585, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.404268, "energy": 20.282403, "activity_lines": [ 4.304667, 4.34, 4.249619, 4.19486 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.19, "volume": 5104800, "typical_volume": 5575345.0, "trend": 4.144, "fair_value": 4.469423, "relative_strength": -13.723476, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.713315, "energy": 16.146857, "activity_lines": [ 4.263333, 4.318909, 4.250667, 4.198452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.96, "volume": 6357200, "typical_volume": 5534065.0, "trend": 4.143667, "fair_value": 4.464679, "relative_strength": -18.035209, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.715527, "energy": 9.475197, "activity_lines": [ 4.169333, 4.255273, 4.229857, 4.186581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.04, "volume": 4945000, "typical_volume": 5465435.0, "trend": 4.143333, "fair_value": 4.461474, "relative_strength": -15.364726, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -15.556895, "energy": 15.553836, "activity_lines": [ 4.116, 4.206, 4.218524, 4.179892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.15, "volume": 8201600, "typical_volume": 5165375.0, "trend": 4.140667, "fair_value": 4.460449, "relative_strength": -15.067883, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.769053, "energy": 16.912715, "activity_lines": [ 4.105333, 4.179091, 4.217905, 4.180323 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }