{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b31b8c07-1ebf-4611-9738-8f2b68ad8d92", "symbol": "1342", "name": "Cathay Consolidated, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 51.566, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.369, "architecture_energy": 23.481, "architecture_maturity": 63.375, "architecture_confidence": 76.049, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.81, "rotation_up": 21.55, "upward_expansion": 54.8, "deceleration": 91.1, "rotation_down": 36.85, "downward_expansion": 20.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.913334, 107.367273, 105.348095, 101.783632 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 103.0, "trend_reference": 97.659764, "distance_from_trend": 0.054682, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 90.4925, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.138216, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -17.612712, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.098743, "excess_performance": -0.342629, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054682, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.138216, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098383, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176127, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081114, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.098743, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.612624, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1093143, "relative_activity": 0.372137, "balance": 1.612624, "dry_up": 0.727666, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085288, "annualized_volatility": 0.393572, "from_high_reference": -0.155738, "from_low_reference": 0.371714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.659764, "fair_value_reference": 90.4925, "structural_low": 82.900002, "invalidation": "A 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.227393, "energy": 22.095404, "activity_lines": [ 107.333334, 109.556364, 104.694762, 100.915364 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.0, "volume": 2124663, "typical_volume": 2944406.1, "trend": 97.110605, "fair_value": 90.410389, "relative_strength": -14.482445, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.71219, "energy": 21.549825, "activity_lines": [ 105.406667, 108.665455, 105.111904, 101.403671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 103.0, "volume": 1093143, "typical_volume": 2937474.6, "trend": 97.659764, "fair_value": 90.4925, "relative_strength": -17.612712, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.36882, "energy": 23.480541, "activity_lines": [ 103.913334, 107.367273, 105.348095, 101.783632 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }