{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b333125a-8e24-4c31-aae4-77e13aa0d369", "symbol": "GST", "name": "GSTechnologies Ltd.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.865, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.296, "architecture_energy": 19.51, "architecture_maturity": 13.39, "architecture_confidence": 42.359, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.74, "rotation_up": 44.25, "upward_expansion": 48.0, "deceleration": 39.54, "rotation_down": 27.5, "downward_expansion": 8.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.004577, 0.004521, 0.004092, 0.003896 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.004, "trend_reference": 0.003967, "distance_from_trend": 0.008403, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.00945, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.576708, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -30.308207, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.259259, "excess_performance": -0.310495, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008403, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13668, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.576708, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041677, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.303082, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.212476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.259259, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.826917, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17635272, "relative_activity": 0.485194, "balance": 0.826917, "dry_up": 0.546544, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.347885, "annualized_volatility": 1.450918, "from_high_reference": -0.619048, "from_low_reference": 1.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.003967, "fair_value_reference": 0.00945, "structural_low": 0.0015, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.008267, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.03038, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.217391, "worst_return": -0.222222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.240741, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.275233, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.430435, "worst_return": -0.524444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.35463, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.413616, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.021739, "worst_return": -0.413333, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.304348, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.503818, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.624074, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-10-13", "end": "2023-11-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029197, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2023-11-10", "end": "2023-12-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.037037, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-12-15", "end": "2024-01-05", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.053571, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.04, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.2125, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.251309, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.392857, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.193043, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.265385, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.164179, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038462, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.740741, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.2875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.215686, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.0069, "volume": 162446874, "typical_volume": 203498168.0, "trend": 0.007977, "fair_value": 0.01184, "relative_strength": -16.70136, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.175941, 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0.009491, "relative_strength": -13.644535, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.278719, "energy": 39.937615, "activity_lines": [ 0.004677, 0.004344, 0.0038, 0.003792 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0055, "volume": 26923330, "typical_volume": 35632333.9, "trend": 0.004047, "fair_value": 0.009484, "relative_strength": -5.975682, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.47454, "energy": 50.590015, "activity_lines": [ 0.00502, 0.004601, 0.003994, 0.003888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0042, "volume": 25142835, "typical_volume": 36199105.5, "trend": 0.004037, "fair_value": 0.009467, "relative_strength": -27.879314, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.155515, "energy": 34.61609, "activity_lines": [ 0.004847, 0.004585, 0.004053, 0.003898 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.004, "volume": 17635272, "typical_volume": 36346873.35, "trend": 0.003967, "fair_value": 0.00945, "relative_strength": -30.308207, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.296264, "energy": 19.510035, "activity_lines": [ 0.004577, 0.004521, 0.004092, 0.003896 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }