{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3417a9f-1ff9-4c8f-a602-97044e54bc5b", "symbol": "603192", "name": "Shanghai Huide Science & Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.115, "architecture_energy": 22.132, "architecture_maturity": 87.617, "architecture_confidence": 64.739, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.85, "rotation_up": 38.07, "upward_expansion": 21.35, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 18.92, "downward_expansion": 55.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.454666, 19.472545, 19.969565, 21.065265 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 21.959999, "trend_reference": 22.702566, "distance_from_trend": -0.032708, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 18.790822, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.168656, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.55568, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.164384, "excess_performance": -0.12118, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.032708, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083523, "read": "Falling" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.005308, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.013411, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.252618, "worst_return": -0.139477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.145365, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.042658, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.494971, "worst_return": -0.204708, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.066395, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.082162, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.25585, "worst_return": -0.0891, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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17.904667, 18.99222, 20.818445, 22.124889 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 17.41, "volume": 8310402, "typical_volume": 6035600.5, "trend": 23.219232, "fair_value": 18.744659, "relative_strength": -26.910358, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.598615, "energy": 85.939409, "activity_lines": [ 17.618, 18.515286, 20.344364, 21.737261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.530001, "volume": 20024997, "typical_volume": 6378754.8, "trend": 23.087899, "fair_value": 18.751007, "relative_strength": -12.759715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.073678, "energy": 59.353628, "activity_lines": [ 18.185334, 18.515155, 20.115712, 21.499246 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.33, "volume": 28657828, "typical_volume": 7200293.9, "trend": 22.973566, "fair_value": 18.761362, "relative_strength": -10.110281, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.650679, "energy": 36.373507, "activity_lines": [ 18.987334, 18.729259, 20.000108, 21.321317 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.889999, "volume": 14694642, "typical_volume": 7515669.5, "trend": 22.845233, "fair_value": 18.768648, "relative_strength": -12.195456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.325055, "energy": 25.960099, "activity_lines": [ 19.479333, 18.898389, 19.871836, 21.122377 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.959999, "volume": 18061160, "typical_volume": 7872167.45, "trend": 22.702566, "fair_value": 18.790822, "relative_strength": -5.55568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.114883, "energy": 22.132155, "activity_lines": [ 20.454666, 19.472545, 19.969565, 21.065265 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }