{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b34a7585-1463-4ef0-9d15-0906582676b4", "symbol": "MRAM", "name": "Everspin Technologies Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 82.895, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.372, "architecture_energy": 30.348, "architecture_maturity": 34.265, "architecture_confidence": 43.749, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.25, "rotation_up": 15.23, "upward_expansion": 18.31, "deceleration": 56.78, "rotation_down": 59.82, "downward_expansion": 45.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.607333, 17.577636, 20.397714, 18.936688 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.64, "trend_reference": 16.895667, "distance_from_trend": -0.015132, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.143942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.819784, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.88603, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.52381, "excess_performance": 0.336356, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.015132, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.258913, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.819784, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.546804, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.11886, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.32434, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.52381, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.057204, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9453272, "relative_activity": 0.74942, "balance": 1.057204, "dry_up": 0.510738, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.44428, "annualized_volatility": 1.165961, "from_high_reference": -0.676893, "from_low_reference": 1.83959 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.895667, "fair_value_reference": 9.143942, "structural_low": 8.0, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.038199, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.03863, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.784053, "worst_return": -0.306207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.346633, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.364689, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.442593, "worst_return": -0.191489, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.240864, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.321238, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.289277, "worst_return": -0.113951, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 12083333.2, "trend": 16.592667, "fair_value": 9.071635, "relative_strength": 9.552466, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.822989, "energy": 17.460985, "activity_lines": [ 16.596, 19.714545, 21.102238, 19.076323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.53, "volume": 4776884, "typical_volume": 12214820.75, "trend": 16.741667, "fair_value": 9.100096, "relative_strength": 3.895196, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.248344, "energy": 26.736049, "activity_lines": [ 15.509333, 18.280182, 20.663095, 18.943247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.64, "volume": 9453272, "typical_volume": 12614110.2, "trend": 16.895667, "fair_value": 9.143942, "relative_strength": 11.88603, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.372428, "energy": 30.347868, "activity_lines": [ 15.607333, 17.577636, 20.397714, 18.936688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }