{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b359a78d-1849-45ba-8e29-fdd227ef144b", "symbol": "301113", "name": "Zhejiang Yayi Metal Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.163, "architecture_energy": 54.96, "architecture_maturity": 34.255, "architecture_confidence": 91.778, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 19.29, "upward_expansion": 8.68, "deceleration": 56.64, "rotation_down": 61.25, "downward_expansion": 82.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.804667, 15.083455, 16.554354, 17.450563 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 15.98, "trend_reference": 18.445045, "distance_from_trend": -0.133643, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.720994, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016475, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.842142, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.189645, "excess_performance": -0.197045, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.133643, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053831, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016475, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.331036, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148421, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106144, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.189645, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.282691, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8524529, "relative_activity": 1.131776, "balance": 0.282691, "dry_up": 1.076152, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104035, "annualized_volatility": 0.409754, "from_high_reference": -0.268699, "from_low_reference": 0.262243 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.445045, "fair_value_reference": 15.720994, "structural_low": 12.66, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.018377, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.012948, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.24753, "worst_return": -0.155852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.01811, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.007189, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.354546, "worst_return": -0.139042, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.074554, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048204, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.303743, "worst_return": -0.154635, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 7774994.9, "trend": 18.690765, "fair_value": 15.739166, "relative_strength": -27.635284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.700327, "energy": 86.83358, "activity_lines": [ 14.473333, 15.400791, 17.065136, 17.884171 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.51, "volume": 6255739, "typical_volume": 7568629.15, "trend": 18.520156, "fair_value": 15.724547, "relative_strength": -19.002089, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.483837, "energy": 74.794724, "activity_lines": [ 14.376667, 15.058364, 16.724705, 17.614444 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.98, "volume": 8524529, "typical_volume": 7531990.7, "trend": 18.445045, "fair_value": 15.720994, "relative_strength": -14.842142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.163267, "energy": 54.959524, "activity_lines": [ 14.804667, 15.083455, 16.554354, 17.450563 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }