{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3620778-d8ed-4970-aed3-f38d812244e2", "symbol": "VALIANTLAB", "name": "Valiant Laboratories Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 81.559, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.049, "architecture_energy": 45.453, "architecture_maturity": 4.074, "architecture_confidence": 73.1, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.97, "rotation_up": 16.04, "upward_expansion": 24.47, "deceleration": 51.24, "rotation_down": 64.18, "downward_expansion": 54.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.624666, 63.836727, 67.417286, 66.39714 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 64.589996, "trend_reference": 64.65, "distance_from_trend": -0.000928, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 111.241303, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.41937, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.191788, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.09735, "excess_performance": 0.141059, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000928, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032147, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.41937, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105149, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081918, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105983, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09735, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.616101, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89310, "relative_activity": 0.59538, "balance": 0.616101, "dry_up": 0.396532, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07522, "annualized_volatility": 0.477835, "from_high_reference": -0.360368, "from_low_reference": 0.304585 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 64.65, "fair_value_reference": 111.241303, "structural_low": 49.509998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.012428, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.025638, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.001729, "worst_return": -0.026584, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.107347, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.159263, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.107347, "worst_return": -0.107347, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.31318, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.347275, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.31318, "worst_return": -0.31318, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": 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210305.9, "trend": 64.736667, "fair_value": 111.556515, "relative_strength": -13.575694, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.607555, "energy": 58.439459, "activity_lines": [ 61.946001, 64.225092, 67.708429, 66.406603 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.589996, "volume": 89310, "typical_volume": 150005.1, "trend": 64.65, "fair_value": 111.241303, "relative_strength": -8.191788, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.048936, "energy": 45.453465, "activity_lines": [ 62.624666, 63.836727, 67.417286, 66.39714 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }