{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b365f6cb-46be-40a1-82c8-232216322668", "symbol": "FSPORT", "name": "FSport AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.016, "architecture_energy": 15.773, "architecture_maturity": 43.485, "architecture_confidence": 92.431, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.32, "rotation_up": 25.14, "upward_expansion": 53.43, "deceleration": 83.9, "rotation_down": 26.1, "downward_expansion": 17.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.127067, 0.135509, 0.128267, 0.109251 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.124, "trend_reference": 0.085383, "distance_from_trend": 0.452274, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.088331, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.403808, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 53.197349, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.883721, "excess_performance": 1.822227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.452274, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.667101, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.403808, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282004, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.531973, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090007, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.883721, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.921355, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14616993, "relative_activity": 0.20459, "balance": 0.921355, "dry_up": 0.319407, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.549938, "annualized_volatility": 2.435097, "from_high_reference": -0.724444, "from_low_reference": 4.767442 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.085383, "fair_value_reference": 0.088331, "structural_low": 0.0215, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.83875, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.375556, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.03599, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.525333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": 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"relative_strength": 103.460158, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.060821, "energy": 27.717293, "activity_lines": [ 0.151333, 0.145564, 0.118248, 0.097329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.122, "volume": 24345692, "typical_volume": 68233146.9, "trend": 0.076767, "fair_value": 0.088818, "relative_strength": 61.801542, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.957159, "energy": 16.376241, "activity_lines": [ 0.135467, 0.142936, 0.121169, 0.100437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.12, "volume": 30957043, "typical_volume": 69765078.1, "trend": 0.079717, "fair_value": 0.0886, "relative_strength": 55.844921, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.798525, "energy": 17.864042, "activity_lines": [ 0.127467, 0.139691, 0.123471, 0.103226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.132, "volume": 21360849, "typical_volume": 70800961.3, "trend": 0.0829, "fair_value": 0.088498, "relative_strength": 67.427066, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.896057, "energy": 16.002216, "activity_lines": [ 0.128467, 0.138573, 0.126495, 0.106599 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.124, "volume": 14616993, "typical_volume": 71445427.7, "trend": 0.085383, "fair_value": 0.088331, "relative_strength": 53.197349, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.015938, "energy": 15.773059, "activity_lines": [ 0.127067, 0.135509, 0.128267, 0.109251 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }