{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b36efa5b-857d-4c89-b502-f3d6d594e9f6", "symbol": "TERRNT-B", "name": "Terranet AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.343, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 6.367, "architecture_energy": 15.167, "architecture_maturity": 48.93, "architecture_confidence": 74.366, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.19, "rotation_up": 16.68, "upward_expansion": 40.95, "deceleration": 81.05, "rotation_down": 39.93, "downward_expansion": 34.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.100947, 0.105967, 0.11195, 0.104021 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.107, "trend_reference": 0.09318, "distance_from_trend": 0.148315, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.120435, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.111552, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.024502, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.502809, "excess_performance": 0.441315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.148315, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.149914, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.111552, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051704, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.070245, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160977, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.502809, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.5341, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37328452, "relative_activity": 0.325227, "balance": 2.5341, "dry_up": 0.272056, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.2289, "annualized_volatility": 0.960664, "from_high_reference": -0.465, "from_low_reference": 1.0 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.09318, "fair_value_reference": 0.120435, "structural_low": 0.0535, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.070038, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.077934, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.276224, "worst_return": -0.303464, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.410528, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.442653, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.045075, "worst_return": -0.224018, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.031095, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.015957, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.258765, "worst_return": -0.320955, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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5.272725, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.81408, "energy": 16.835572, "activity_lines": [ 0.110053, 0.118342, 0.113011, 0.102567 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0926, "volume": 45810246, "typical_volume": 112660787.45, "trend": 0.09104, "fair_value": 0.120877, "relative_strength": -5.029384, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.635781, "energy": 13.481684, "activity_lines": [ 0.103867, 0.112455, 0.112223, 0.102719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0962, "volume": 35508523, "typical_volume": 113727334.9, "trend": 0.091977, "fair_value": 0.120639, "relative_strength": -2.196306, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.237065, "energy": 12.980242, "activity_lines": [ 0.09996, 0.107902, 0.111647, 0.103052 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.107, "volume": 37328452, "typical_volume": 114776566.65, "trend": 0.09318, "fair_value": 0.120435, "relative_strength": 7.024502, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.366509, "energy": 15.167273, "activity_lines": [ 0.100947, 0.105967, 0.11195, 0.104021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }