{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3977762-d616-4fbd-9d08-72704aed37e4", "symbol": "6692", "name": "Acmepoint Energy Services Co.,LTD", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.25, "architecture_energy": 55.739, "architecture_maturity": 41.928, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 22.79, "upward_expansion": 9.19, "deceleration": 49.52, "rotation_down": 60.32, "downward_expansion": 84.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.27, 23.785749, 25.373227, 26.763182 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.950001, "trend_reference": 28.406846, "distance_from_trend": -0.156893, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.872391, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.271425, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.452846, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.198008, "excess_performance": -0.63938, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156893, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06857, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.271425, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.116238, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.444528, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015744, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.198008, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.49861, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 134649, "relative_activity": 0.755131, "balance": 0.49861, "dry_up": 0.498975, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086608, "annualized_volatility": 0.279233, "from_high_reference": -0.341338, "from_low_reference": 0.108796 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.406846, "fair_value_reference": 32.872391, "structural_low": 21.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.006093, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.036118, "regime_survival": 0.805556, "best_return": 0.235392, "worst_return": -0.09796, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.03009, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.072079, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.479976, "worst_return": -0.124359, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.094844, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.110101, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.459977, "worst_return": -0.269845, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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32.990418, "relative_strength": -45.663509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.335342, "energy": 74.33478, "activity_lines": [ 23.323263, 24.213147, 26.172692, 27.439742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.0, "volume": 107244, "typical_volume": 179679.75, "trend": 28.605604, "fair_value": 32.931554, "relative_strength": -45.697116, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.519585, "energy": 69.37488, "activity_lines": [ 23.06, 23.880907, 25.709727, 27.063544 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 23.950001, "volume": 134649, "typical_volume": 178312.2, "trend": 28.406846, "fair_value": 32.872391, "relative_strength": -44.452846, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.249613, "energy": 55.739235, "activity_lines": [ 23.27, 23.785749, 25.373227, 26.763182 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }