{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3a1f749-4237-4855-9576-f63c976d3905",
    "symbol": "CDM",
    "name": "Cadence Capital Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 69.239,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 20.778,
    "architecture_energy": 47.206,
    "architecture_maturity": 3.179,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.916,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.52,
        "rotation_up": 62.94,
        "upward_expansion": 48.66,
        "deceleration": 22.45,
        "rotation_down": 14.49,
        "downward_expansion": 23.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.783333,
        0.771545,
        0.764892,
        0.766699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.78,
    "trend_reference": 0.768673,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014736,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.641181,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216506,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.35225,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.064328,
    "excess_performance": 0.000622,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014736,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039424,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216506,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030052,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023523,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.066772,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064328,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.119468,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2073502,
      "relative_activity": 2.011473,
      "balance": 1.119468,
      "dry_up": 1.345899,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030079,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.223976,
      "from_high_reference": -0.070243,
      "from_low_reference": 0.277373
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.768673,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.641181,
      "structural_low": 0.713571,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.012691,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012866,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.046667,
        "worst_return": -0.05,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.054537,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015735,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.128789,
        "worst_return": -0.085,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.002105,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019489,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.121213,
        "worst_return": -0.122363,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.016409,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005097,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.244622,
        "worst_return": -0.025763,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.041665,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.047685,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.02857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.007352,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.027206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.081436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021739,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.098592,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007498,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.067114,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1027455.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1526643,
        "typical_volume": 1047561.3,
        "trend": 0.759911,
        "fair_value": 0.638084,
        "relative_strength": 8.357376,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.253727,
        "energy": 8.769299,
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          0.759333,
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          0.75755,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.79,
        "volume": 1010767,
        "typical_volume": 1037230.7,
        "trend": 0.763583,
        "fair_value": 0.639185,
        "relative_strength": 10.278428,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.278333,
        "energy": 26.928032,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.770667,
          0.760909,
          0.760138,
          0.76385
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.795,
        "volume": 938701,
        "typical_volume": 997777.3,
        "trend": 0.767262,
        "fair_value": 0.640244,
        "relative_strength": 8.002328,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.986339,
        "energy": 47.798057,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.781333,
          0.767909,
          0.763297,
          0.765877
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.78,
        "volume": 2073502,
        "typical_volume": 1030837.45,
        "trend": 0.768673,
        "fair_value": 0.641181,
        "relative_strength": 2.35225,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.777928,
        "energy": 47.206177,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.783333,
          0.771545,
          0.764892,
          0.766699
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}