{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3abea89-d348-4af7-b488-d711ae33584b",
    "symbol": "QAL",
    "name": "Qualitas Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 50.86,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.493,
    "architecture_energy": 61.013,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.993,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.089,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.29,
        "rotation_up": 67.23,
        "upward_expansion": 83.38,
        "deceleration": 53.82,
        "rotation_down": 15.34,
        "downward_expansion": 10.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.184,
        3.119091,
        2.952381,
        2.874607
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 3.3,
    "trend_reference": 2.869783,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.149913,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.672023,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235019,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.980788,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.108989,
    "excess_performance": 0.045283,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149913,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069661,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.235019,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.242089,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009808,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179283,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108989,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.284153,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1811049,
      "relative_activity": 1.561657,
      "balance": 2.284153,
      "dry_up": 1.235885,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062471,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.376552,
      "from_high_reference": -0.18584,
      "from_low_reference": 0.460177
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.869783,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.672023,
      "structural_low": 2.26,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.067131,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036368,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.172535,
        "worst_return": 0.012472,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.07336,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.063669,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.302817,
        "worst_return": -0.108712,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.080319,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011173,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.347969,
        "worst_return": -0.120439,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.030873,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043412,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.039907,
        "worst_return": 0.021838,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011236,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.093599,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.097458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.048508,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.070422,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.133922,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085799,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055263,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.14245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.056815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065972,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037736,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 2.323514,
        "volume": 158495,
        "typical_volume": 420635.3,
        "trend": 2.341267,
        "fair_value": 2.110475,
        "relative_strength": 1.481771,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Neutral compression",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1367290.45,
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        "relative_strength": 2.464696,
        "stage": 1,
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        "direction": 54.498087,
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          3.145333,
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          2.831952,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1024223,
        "typical_volume": 1351803.3,
        "trend": 2.891763,
        "fair_value": 2.660129,
        "relative_strength": -1.167446,
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        "energy": 69.305844,
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          3.164667,
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          2.872048,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.03,
        "volume": 1299688,
        "typical_volume": 1251779.0,
        "trend": 2.874131,
        "fair_value": 2.665356,
        "relative_strength": -6.491037,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.951423,
        "energy": 56.563829,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.13,
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          2.90019,
          2.847131
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.3,
        "volume": 1811049,
        "typical_volume": 1159696.75,
        "trend": 2.869783,
        "fair_value": 2.672023,
        "relative_strength": -0.980788,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.492694,
        "energy": 61.013041,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.184,
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          2.874607
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}