{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3cd083a-e66e-4383-afb2-6d5b19e8a485",
    "symbol": "SONY",
    "name": "Sony Group Corp",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 76.036,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 44.226,
    "architecture_energy": 49.171,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.182,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.022,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.73,
        "rotation_up": 62.07,
        "upward_expansion": 50.25,
        "deceleration": 33.72,
        "rotation_down": 16.66,
        "downward_expansion": 15.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        22.424667,
        21.662727,
        21.368381,
        21.330817
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 23.46,
    "trend_reference": 21.527333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.089777,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 21.202169,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.106491,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.327164,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.053908,
    "excess_performance": -0.071717,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.089777,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084657,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106491,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144589,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.143272,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14967,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053908,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.35412,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26950204,
      "relative_activity": 0.935713,
      "balance": 1.35412,
      "dry_up": 0.955409,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.05866,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.336334,
      "from_high_reference": -0.226763,
      "from_low_reference": 0.214286
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.527333,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.202169,
      "structural_low": 19.32,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.065212,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036034,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.18786,
        "worst_return": -0.087187,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.154726,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088774,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.19219,
        "worst_return": 0.014658,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.11158,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016239,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.341679,
        "worst_return": -0.070224,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.058758,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027614,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.61839,
        "worst_return": -0.133511,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.155924,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.160553,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.025443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.047088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054977,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.155145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022458,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083363,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105732,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.009502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.039942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015873,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.118208,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 28834089.7,
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        "fair_value": 21.108052,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.787445,
        "energy": 26.351463,
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          21.161527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 20.98,
        "volume": 19164572,
        "typical_volume": 27917249.8,
        "trend": 21.667333,
        "fair_value": 21.124554,
        "relative_strength": -20.728579,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.937709,
        "energy": 13.668115,
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          20.881333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.26,
        "volume": 43707365,
        "typical_volume": 28694756.1,
        "trend": 21.58,
        "fair_value": 21.159811,
        "relative_strength": -12.673578,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 30.781533,
        "energy": 24.593969,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.738,
          21.234182,
          21.132714,
          21.209527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.46,
        "volume": 26950204,
        "typical_volume": 28801783.7,
        "trend": 21.527333,
        "fair_value": 21.202169,
        "relative_strength": -14.327164,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.225902,
        "energy": 49.170919,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.424667,
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          21.368381,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}