{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3d00f81-4f15-4f84-b5c5-a7683581cfa7", "symbol": "600563", "name": "Xiamen Faratronic Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.341, "architecture_energy": 20.306, "architecture_maturity": 24.157, "architecture_confidence": 77.8, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.44, "rotation_up": 15.69, "upward_expansion": 41.18, "deceleration": 86.7, "rotation_down": 42.1, "downward_expansion": 32.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 133.589336, 142.674864, 144.670825, 139.681739 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 136.210007, "trend_reference": 131.856684, "distance_from_trend": 0.033016, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 108.789737, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252048, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.836091, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.253197, "excess_performance": 0.296401, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033016, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114193, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.252048, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.119854, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.098361, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127635, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.253197, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.275532, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28042089, "relative_activity": 0.795748, "balance": 1.275532, "dry_up": 0.871542, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165322, "annualized_volatility": 0.743815, "from_high_reference": -0.303274, "from_low_reference": 0.366884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 131.856684, "fair_value_reference": 108.789737, "structural_low": 103.68, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.043899, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.042773, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.376911, "worst_return": -0.1968, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.04932, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.03722, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.403765, "worst_return": -0.346358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.036775, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.022363, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.560084, "worst_return": -0.307068, "sufficient": 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"typical_volume": 36006983.75, "trend": 129.78435, "fair_value": 108.707418, "relative_strength": 6.162272, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.932871, "energy": 20.815862, "activity_lines": [ 138.013998, 148.925949, 145.3224, 138.875869 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 136.880005, "volume": 29016666, "typical_volume": 36127554.55, "trend": 130.814684, "fair_value": 108.729529, "relative_strength": 13.734054, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.551608, "energy": 25.365594, "activity_lines": [ 134.184, 145.546285, 145.073827, 139.333653 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 136.210007, "volume": 28042089, "typical_volume": 35239889.65, "trend": 131.856684, "fair_value": 108.789737, "relative_strength": 9.836091, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.341434, "energy": 20.305948, "activity_lines": [ 133.589336, 142.674864, 144.670825, 139.681739 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }