{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3d0b10b-d554-4cce-ad42-0b11c7f65a56",
    "symbol": "P2LN34",
    "name": "Planet Fitness, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.275,
    "architecture_energy": 64.381,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 63.278,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.78,
        "rotation_up": 27.99,
        "upward_expansion": 22.5,
        "deceleration": 67.0,
        "rotation_down": 50.16,
        "downward_expansion": 70.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        33.016001,
        32.991637,
        34.965667,
        38.767355
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 31.92,
    "trend_reference": 45.257334,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.2947,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 51.36827,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.378605,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -45.338727,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.512746,
    "excess_performance": -0.455698,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.2947,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.202097,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.378605,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229987,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.453387,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024725,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.512746,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.941963,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1272,
      "relative_activity": 3.933818,
      "balance": 0.941963,
      "dry_up": 3.302923,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.056728,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.577419,
      "from_high_reference": -0.55642,
      "from_low_reference": 0.028019
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 45.257334,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.36827,
      "structural_low": 31.049999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.023114,
        "positive_rate": 0.105263,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.578947,
        "median_excess_return": -0.058545,
        "regime_survival": 0.894737,
        "best_return": 0.169014,
        "worst_return": -0.243219,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.116127,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.229453,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.063967,
        "worst_return": -0.324683,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.198683,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.327962,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.169014,
        "worst_return": -0.373637,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.203409,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.063249,
        "worst_return": -0.063249,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.098731,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
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        "return": 0.0,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
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        "return": 0.078647,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.03856,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
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        "return": -0.050545,
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        "return": 0.021921,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.044068,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 110.3,
        "trend": 53.212,
        "fair_value": 51.708911,
        "relative_strength": -50.239834,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.421726,
        "energy": 92.444098,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.980665,
          35.972,
          41.043571,
          46.366968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 32.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 110.3,
        "trend": 52.053333,
        "fair_value": 51.655962,
        "relative_strength": -50.726055,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -77.464924,
        "energy": 90.490153,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.811999,
          34.840545,
          39.718,
          45.017806
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 33.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 110.3,
        "trend": 50.928,
        "fair_value": 51.609423,
        "relative_strength": -48.619607,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.628316,
        "energy": 68.940386,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.893332,
          34.107999,
          38.645809,
          43.807914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 32.900002,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 110.3,
        "trend": 49.789333,
        "fair_value": 51.560321,
        "relative_strength": -49.365065,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.27233,
        "energy": 68.418606,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.853333,
          33.501636,
          37.688905,
          42.644817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 32.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 110.2,
        "trend": 48.650667,
        "fair_value": 51.511218,
        "relative_strength": -47.181318,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.878573,
        "energy": 67.805011,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.860001,
          33.101455,
          36.85581,
          41.555183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 109.8,
        "trend": 47.512,
        "fair_value": 51.462116,
        "relative_strength": -46.272639,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.830468,
        "energy": 64.26603,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.913335,
          32.907455,
          36.110572,
          40.539011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.560001,
        "volume": 3000,
        "typical_volume": 259.8,
        "trend": 46.428667,
        "fair_value": 51.423654,
        "relative_strength": -43.742692,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.515863,
        "energy": 61.717458,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.480001,
          33.221455,
          35.619667,
          39.703398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.92,
        "volume": 1272,
        "typical_volume": 323.35,
        "trend": 45.257334,
        "fair_value": 51.36827,
        "relative_strength": -45.338727,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.274749,
        "energy": 64.380518,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.016001,
          32.991637,
          34.965667,
          38.767355
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}