{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3e75ae7-5f8f-44cf-a5f1-ca96d2bf3a69", "symbol": "LPM", "name": "Lithium Plus Minerals Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.498, "architecture_energy": 22.46, "architecture_maturity": 87.227, "architecture_confidence": 67.893, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.81, "rotation_up": 37.98, "upward_expansion": 22.11, "deceleration": 40.83, "rotation_down": 23.39, "downward_expansion": 53.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.112, 0.108982, 0.11009, 0.114138 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.105, "trend_reference": 0.124267, "distance_from_trend": -0.155043, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.152006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.30924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.941758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.25, "excess_performance": -0.313706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.155043, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074938, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.30924, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055223, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.179418, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31211, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.25, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.049164, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 719499, "relative_activity": 2.112403, "balance": 1.049164, "dry_up": 1.825078, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.109524, "annualized_volatility": 0.655718, "from_high_reference": -0.475, "from_low_reference": 0.438356 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.124267, "fair_value_reference": 0.152006, "structural_low": 0.09, 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"energy": 41.464403, "activity_lines": [ 0.1034, 0.103655, 0.11029, 0.117819 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.12, "volume": 1001539, "typical_volume": 286873.75, "trend": 0.128433, "fair_value": 0.155212, "relative_strength": 0.420535, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.72392, "energy": 19.565406, "activity_lines": [ 0.1102, 0.106055, 0.110729, 0.117254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.12, "volume": 414699, "typical_volume": 299373.6, "trend": 0.127933, "fair_value": 0.154218, "relative_strength": 0.020902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.659761, "energy": 22.073181, "activity_lines": [ 0.115, 0.108545, 0.111262, 0.11671 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.11, "volume": 350799, "typical_volume": 313401.8, "trend": 0.126933, "fair_value": 0.153096, "relative_strength": -10.839133, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.307599, "energy": 24.216708, "activity_lines": [ 0.114667, 0.109218, 0.11089, 0.115553 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.105, "volume": 719499, "typical_volume": 340606.9, "trend": 0.124267, "fair_value": 0.152006, "relative_strength": -17.941758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.497604, "energy": 22.459724, "activity_lines": [ 0.112, 0.108982, 0.11009, 0.114138 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }