{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3e7beb1-abb6-4de9-9221-2dd0dc5b1a49",
    "symbol": "000955",
    "name": "Xinglong Holding (Group) Company Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.473,
    "architecture_energy": 55.667,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.162,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.445,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.03,
        "rotation_up": 15.34,
        "upward_expansion": 9.72,
        "deceleration": 43.53,
        "rotation_down": 66.14,
        "downward_expansion": 85.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.973333,
        4.116545,
        4.335857,
        4.558581
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 4.21,
    "trend_reference": 4.892667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.139529,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 4.717436,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.107566,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -23.701513,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.266551,
    "excess_performance": -0.27395,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139529,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147371,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107566,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213904,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.237015,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022208,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.266551,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.451081,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 50688119,
      "relative_activity": 0.818899,
      "balance": 0.451081,
      "dry_up": 1.064782,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124977,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.483151,
      "from_high_reference": -0.519954,
      "from_low_reference": 0.213256
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.892667,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.717436,
      "structural_low": 3.47,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007194,
        "regime_survival": 0.782609,
        "best_return": 0.246667,
        "worst_return": -0.284424,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.049023,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.081548,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.697279,
        "worst_return": -0.336343,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.129032,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.137045,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.126147,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.021025,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.111708,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.693878,
        "worst_return": -0.374468,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.097113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "return": 0.140777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.89,
        "volume": 56678231,
        "typical_volume": 62876920.9,
        "trend": 4.959667,
        "fair_value": 4.719423,
        "relative_strength": -26.234546,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.992591,
        "energy": 66.675791,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.21,
        "volume": 50688119,
        "typical_volume": 61897851.85,
        "trend": 4.892667,
        "fair_value": 4.717436,
        "relative_strength": -23.701513,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}