{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3e8cc21-c0fe-4d2c-acca-6083394b4679", "symbol": "PMVM", "name": "Pomvom Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.894, "architecture_energy": 70.924, "architecture_maturity": 89.206, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.87, "rotation_up": 27.28, "upward_expansion": 13.14, "deceleration": 46.66, "rotation_down": 56.62, "downward_expansion": 84.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.5312, 0.551018, 0.602171, 0.644908 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.513, "trend_reference": 0.7603, "distance_from_trend": -0.325266, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.799212, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.816734, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -68.554031, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.244477, "excess_performance": -0.273377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.325266, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.414177, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.816734, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050204, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.68554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037841, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.244477, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.157928, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 125262, "relative_activity": 0.08481, "balance": 0.157928, "dry_up": 0.213563, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104064, "annualized_volatility": 1.19346, "from_high_reference": -0.813455, "from_low_reference": 0.04908 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.7603, "fair_value_reference": 2.799212, "structural_low": 0.489, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": -0.047323, "positive_rate": 0.371429, "directional_follow_through": 0.628571, "median_excess_return": -0.099094, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 1.202051, "worst_return": -0.412047, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.232369, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.301791, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.482671, "worst_return": -0.727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.400388, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.377226, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.790787, "worst_return": -0.771739, "sufficient": true }, { 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false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.064488, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008641, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007382, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.32946, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.081297, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013378, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.070367, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.001847, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104229, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.319629, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 4.671, "volume": 2585, "typical_volume": 99466.05, "trend": 5.227833, "fair_value": 16.099406, "relative_strength": -30.730691, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": 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"volume": 369423, "typical_volume": 1867627.35, "trend": 0.941167, "fair_value": 2.882147, "relative_strength": -69.434342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.725379, "energy": 73.555939, "activity_lines": [ 0.570933, 0.589709, 0.647967, 0.714467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.509, "volume": 325327, "typical_volume": 1832602.95, "trend": 0.8858, "fair_value": 2.85375, "relative_strength": -71.084223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.297207, "energy": 66.295151, "activity_lines": [ 0.549467, 0.570873, 0.631057, 0.686585 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.553, "volume": 441692, "typical_volume": 1801130.9, "trend": 0.8262, "fair_value": 2.82575, "relative_strength": -66.920342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.076278, "energy": 58.761099, "activity_lines": [ 0.546067, 0.563491, 0.618514, 0.665114 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.513, "volume": 125262, "typical_volume": 1476969.7, "trend": 0.7603, "fair_value": 2.799212, "relative_strength": -68.554031, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.893902, "energy": 70.923581, "activity_lines": [ 0.5312, 0.551018, 0.602171, 0.644908 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }