{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3edcd17-085e-402e-bad7-9741fea7034a", "symbol": "RNXT", "name": "RenovoRx Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 74.05, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 35.559, "architecture_energy": 37.206, "architecture_maturity": 52.177, "architecture_confidence": 64.036, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.29, "rotation_up": 57.42, "upward_expansion": 48.28, "deceleration": 20.83, "rotation_down": 23.33, "downward_expansion": 25.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.97932, 0.946904, 0.92251, 0.923577 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.12, "trend_reference": 0.931617, "distance_from_trend": 0.202211, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.13246, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.011002, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.245922, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.131313, "excess_performance": -0.05614, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.202211, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006221, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.011002, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.283295, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.002459, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.332718, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131313, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.664666, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2433832, "relative_activity": 1.633393, "balance": 1.664666, "dry_up": 0.919685, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102665, "annualized_volatility": 0.589544, "from_high_reference": -0.227586, "from_low_reference": 0.59863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.931617, "fair_value_reference": 1.13246, "structural_low": 0.77, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.007092, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.016226, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.342857, "worst_return": -0.330357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.155259, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.224682, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.18381, "worst_return": -0.300752, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.01268, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.146437, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.227143, "worst_return": -0.331345, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023077, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.222893, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.43609, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.168782, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"direction": -31.422698, "energy": 14.805191, "activity_lines": [ 0.90764, 0.900524, 0.903898, 0.913428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.8653, "volume": 494211, "typical_volume": 1499002.55, "trend": 0.927513, "fair_value": 1.143304, "relative_strength": -19.794616, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.241291, "energy": 18.200746, "activity_lines": [ 0.890793, 0.895925, 0.899498, 0.909437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.9583, "volume": 1574727, "typical_volume": 1526201.15, "trend": 0.931617, "fair_value": 1.137139, "relative_strength": -10.789654, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.525718, "energy": 2.513076, "activity_lines": [ 0.908593, 0.907413, 0.903597, 0.911424 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.12, "volume": 2433832, "typical_volume": 1490047.2, "trend": 0.931617, "fair_value": 1.13246, "relative_strength": -0.245922, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.559329, "energy": 37.205701, "activity_lines": [ 0.97932, 0.946904, 0.92251, 0.923577 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }