{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3eeed30-3af9-43d2-aebd-eddaeeff825d",
    "symbol": "FUM",
    "name": "Futura Medical plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -66.948,
    "architecture_energy": 76.64,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.92,
        "rotation_up": 24.48,
        "upward_expansion": 18.72,
        "deceleration": 38.09,
        "rotation_down": 54.99,
        "downward_expansion": 89.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.003708,
        0.004174,
        0.005501,
        0.006982
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0034,
    "trend_reference": 0.008901,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.618006,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.202495,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.983209,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -85.543867,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.733333,
    "excess_performance": -0.784569,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.618006,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.234944,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.983209,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011849,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.855439,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002016,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.733333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.203734,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8728668,
      "relative_activity": 0.420401,
      "balance": 0.203734,
      "dry_up": 0.673328,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.50362,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.263279,
      "from_high_reference": -0.967619,
      "from_low_reference": 0.393443
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.008901,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.202495,
      "structural_low": 0.00244,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": -0.04354,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071211,
        "regime_survival": 0.897436,
        "best_return": 0.389571,
        "worst_return": -0.65445,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.064815,
        "positive_rate": 0.461538,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.111967,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.197791,
        "worst_return": -0.67081,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.327681,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.363504,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.8944,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.474419,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.023747,
        "worst_return": -0.96656,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-04-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.00578,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.00418,
        "volume": 11625158,
        "typical_volume": 21726474.05,
        "trend": 0.009222,
        "fair_value": 0.205704,
        "relative_strength": -83.628066,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.039905,
        "energy": 77.201693,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.003945,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0034,
        "volume": 8728668,
        "typical_volume": 20762716.55,
        "trend": 0.008901,
        "fair_value": 0.202495,
        "relative_strength": -85.543867,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}