{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3ef7012-7c73-4e1e-b81d-549f1c62dc27", "symbol": "KREBSBIO", "name": "Krebs Biochemicals & Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.477, "architecture_energy": 52.971, "architecture_maturity": 10.122, "architecture_confidence": 71.114, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.46, "rotation_up": 16.53, "upward_expansion": 18.48, "deceleration": 44.7, "rotation_down": 69.17, "downward_expansion": 60.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.894001, 56.497819, 58.528572, 58.027635 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 55.040001, "trend_reference": 58.029667, "distance_from_trend": -0.05152, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 74.33359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.259554, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.479068, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.041282, "excess_performance": 0.002427, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.05152, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052175, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.259554, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060712, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124791, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025942, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.041282, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.906064, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25760, "relative_activity": 0.36744, "balance": 0.906064, "dry_up": 0.525707, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094603, "annualized_volatility": 0.533535, "from_high_reference": -0.332768, "from_low_reference": 0.435951 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.029667, "fair_value_reference": 74.33359, "structural_low": 38.330002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.00032, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027128, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.060765, "worst_return": -0.148455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.019079, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.052007, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.152206, "worst_return": -0.240924, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.125421, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.242394, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.334418, "worst_return": -0.182838, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.163077, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.226006, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.328814, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.000797, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.073763, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.08904, "active": false }, 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rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.789216, "energy": 28.033044, "activity_lines": [ 57.618666, 60.322545, 59.78681, 59.089721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 51.900002, "volume": 23837, "typical_volume": 69254.8, "trend": 59.002667, "fair_value": 74.532692, "relative_strength": -15.791445, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.589476, "energy": 43.037249, "activity_lines": [ 54.946, 58.668728, 59.205905, 58.591377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.650002, "volume": 45529, "typical_volume": 71226.85, "trend": 58.425334, "fair_value": 74.426282, "relative_strength": -14.565156, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.610287, "energy": 55.752449, "activity_lines": [ 53.768667, 57.409455, 58.801715, 58.246043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.040001, "volume": 25760, "typical_volume": 70106.6, "trend": 58.029667, "fair_value": 74.33359, "relative_strength": -12.479068, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.47719, "energy": 52.971055, "activity_lines": [ 53.894001, 56.497819, 58.528572, 58.027635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }