{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b3f846df-d5fa-4954-ad6a-34d1efd7a098", "symbol": "301075", "name": "Tibet Duo Rui Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.675, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.635, "architecture_energy": 71.332, "architecture_maturity": 17.305, "architecture_confidence": 86.196, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.08, "rotation_up": 10.85, "upward_expansion": 16.05, "deceleration": 38.51, "rotation_down": 70.85, "downward_expansion": 89.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 53.180667, 56.315455, 64.081952, 66.971097 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 55.470001, "trend_reference": 68.592667, "distance_from_trend": -0.191313, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.912053, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.58885, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.968768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107482, "excess_performance": -0.114882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.191313, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03724, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.58885, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.10354, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.089688, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.493103, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107482, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.528418, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8037739, "relative_activity": 0.926054, "balance": 0.528418, "dry_up": 1.099398, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.164677, "annualized_volatility": 0.666676, "from_high_reference": -0.43565, "from_low_reference": 0.62193 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.592667, "fair_value_reference": 34.912053, "structural_low": 44.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.004028, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001578, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.450954, "worst_return": -0.176926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.058684, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.12948, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.338556, "worst_return": -0.010544, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.259168, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.342284, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.324442, "worst_return": 0.193894, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 34.187628, "relative_strength": 0.138113, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.236023, "energy": 54.432501, "activity_lines": [ 62.040667, 66.955818, 71.486857, 71.229871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.509998, "volume": 11302780, "typical_volume": 8635553.1, "trend": 68.811, "fair_value": 34.377527, "relative_strength": -7.645675, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -50.64563, "energy": 67.21522, "activity_lines": [ 58.9, 63.616545, 69.557142, 70.249935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.220001, "volume": 11057234, "typical_volume": 8700642.2, "trend": 68.788333, "fair_value": 34.544172, "relative_strength": -13.9765, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -51.416626, "energy": 68.642731, "activity_lines": [ 55.495333, 60.250363, 67.414047, 69.050516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.82, "volume": 7771425, "typical_volume": 8525522.2, "trend": 68.732666, "fair_value": 34.710417, "relative_strength": -13.627103, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.02893, "energy": 76.928306, "activity_lines": [ 53.083333, 57.420363, 65.393, 67.826752 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 55.470001, "volume": 8037739, "typical_volume": 8679562.05, "trend": 68.592667, "fair_value": 34.912053, "relative_strength": -8.968768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.634993, "energy": 71.331752, "activity_lines": [ 53.180667, 56.315455, 64.081952, 66.971097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }