{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b3fe6862-d622-45cb-bcd4-bda71fe7e9ab",
    "symbol": "ALTR",
    "name": "Altria Group, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 29.095,
    "architecture_energy": 18.6,
    "architecture_maturity": 65.52,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.809,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.29,
        "rotation_up": 31.63,
        "upward_expansion": 63.72,
        "deceleration": 84.81,
        "rotation_down": 28.46,
        "downward_expansion": 16.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.588001,
        62.223153,
        61.434835,
        60.273027
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 59.240002,
    "trend_reference": 58.440228,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013685,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 44.849962,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320848,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.283288,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.087507,
    "excess_performance": -0.08674,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013685,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088129,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.320848,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040402,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.122833,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064237,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.087507,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.065024,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.065024,
      "dry_up": 4.385016,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.055763,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.302556,
      "from_high_reference": -0.108905,
      "from_low_reference": 0.292025
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 58.440228,
      "fair_value_reference": 44.849962,
      "structural_low": 52.619202,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": 0.00868,
        "positive_rate": 0.59375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006882,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.124511,
        "worst_return": -0.177171,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.026513,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004154,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.158798,
        "worst_return": -0.162202,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.123295,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.055852,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.234642,
        "worst_return": -0.031791,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.176031,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.129163,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.463813,
        "worst_return": -0.043321,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
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        "return": 0.043011,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.03005,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.009988,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
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        "return": 0.066436,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 60.663517,
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        "typical_volume": 609.85,
        "trend": 52.673899,
        "fair_value": 42.20697,
        "relative_strength": 0.254767,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 44.005989,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 589.5,
        "trend": 52.754354,
        "fair_value": 42.368819,
        "relative_strength": -5.8596,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 36.245726,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "fair_value": 42.555569,
        "relative_strength": 0.569928,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 44,
        "typical_volume": 590.1,
        "trend": 53.318449,
        "fair_value": 42.750063,
        "relative_strength": 0.604176,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 77.749085,
        "energy": 79.506124,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 59.110058,
        "volume": 18,
        "typical_volume": 480.25,
        "trend": 53.707089,
        "fair_value": 42.921065,
        "relative_strength": -7.248891,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 61.019889,
        "energy": 62.706209,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 61.253437,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 474.15,
        "trend": 54.150373,
        "fair_value": 43.105015,
        "relative_strength": -2.728608,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.784213,
        "energy": 64.34208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 62.039997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 463.95,
        "trend": 54.632038,
        "fair_value": 43.298491,
        "relative_strength": -4.054748,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 191,
        "typical_volume": 466.65,
        "trend": 55.548455,
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        "relative_strength": -2.326678,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.586722,
        "energy": 53.962379,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 63.259998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 464.35,
        "trend": 56.049665,
        "fair_value": 43.87772,
        "relative_strength": -6.090504,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.050165,
        "energy": 55.029583,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 62.439999,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 64.35,
        "trend": 56.530262,
        "fair_value": 44.073456,
        "relative_strength": -6.018309,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.977255,
        "energy": 46.9088,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.729331,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 65.360001,
        "volume": 50,
        "typical_volume": 62.95,
        "trend": 57.110112,
        "fair_value": 44.285434,
        "relative_strength": 0.265136,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.443208,
        "energy": 64.854148,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.689332,
          62.779979,
          61.025696,
          59.559341
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.18,
        "volume": 10,
        "typical_volume": 41.6,
        "trend": 57.658149,
        "fair_value": 44.486917,
        "relative_strength": -2.8321,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.044412,
        "energy": 52.603334,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.034666,
          63.140212,
          61.465173,
          60.015463
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.48,
        "volume": 4154,
        "typical_volume": 241.05,
        "trend": 58.06961,
        "fair_value": 44.671959,
        "relative_strength": -8.100831,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.592332,
        "energy": 35.114141,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.889333,
          62.77558,
          61.514361,
          60.197518
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 59.240002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 240.25,
        "trend": 58.440228,
        "fair_value": 44.849962,
        "relative_strength": -12.283288,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.094979,
        "energy": 18.600475,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.588001,
          62.223153,
          61.434835,
          60.273027
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}