{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b455a742-988d-4f3c-becc-6c7b3d81a304", "symbol": "JUN3", "name": "Jungheinrich Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.608, "architecture_energy": 20.761, "architecture_maturity": 86.099, "architecture_confidence": 68.016, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.3, "rotation_up": 32.37, "upward_expansion": 21.93, "deceleration": 43.59, "rotation_down": 22.23, "downward_expansion": 55.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.857333, 24.435273, 24.549557, 25.618254 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 25.66, "trend_reference": 27.880137, "distance_from_trend": -0.079632, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.356221, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.125909, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -29.92745, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.288648, "excess_performance": -0.462895, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079632, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101859, "read": "Falling" 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22.440001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.01004, "positive_rate": 0.576923, "directional_follow_through": 0.423077, "median_excess_return": -0.003856, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.176621, "worst_return": -0.253571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.04261, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.010735, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.435331, "worst_return": -0.364228, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.000363, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051714, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.374622, "worst_return": -0.259793, "sufficient": true }, { 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"direction": -60.250636, "energy": 47.968135, "activity_lines": [ 23.751999, 23.863772, 24.783717, 26.628736 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.66, "volume": 446, "typical_volume": 320.25, "trend": 28.941334, "fair_value": 29.472306, "relative_strength": -31.983169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.896567, "energy": 38.347253, "activity_lines": [ 24.110666, 23.954321, 24.664202, 26.331506 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.799999, "volume": 9176, "typical_volume": 763.6, "trend": 28.613692, "fair_value": 29.424802, "relative_strength": -31.786149, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.680218, "energy": 29.785346, "activity_lines": [ 24.381333, 24.093818, 24.591939, 26.064323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.280001, "volume": 388, "typical_volume": 781.5, "trend": 28.240386, "fair_value": 29.374812, "relative_strength": -32.429989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.455149, "energy": 28.121233, "activity_lines": [ 24.441333, 24.136, 24.494746, 25.78473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.66, "volume": 778, "typical_volume": 787.1, "trend": 27.880137, "fair_value": 29.356221, "relative_strength": -29.92745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.608038, "energy": 20.761119, "activity_lines": [ 24.857333, 24.435273, 24.549557, 25.618254 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }