{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "b466729b-2d2d-4294-aef1-83c4c1f23d30",
    "symbol": "VWCG",
    "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed Europe UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.072,
    "architecture_energy": 72.484,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.589,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.883,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.67,
        "rotation_up": 64.27,
        "upward_expansion": 85.89,
        "deceleration": 49.73,
        "rotation_down": 16.77,
        "downward_expansion": 14.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        69.488,
        68.904363,
        67.988167,
        67.154656
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 71.019997,
    "trend_reference": 66.382667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.069858,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 53.566074,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325839,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.692892,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069901,
    "excess_performance": 0.018665,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069858,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03503,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.325839,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037174,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026929,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003081,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069901,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.705562,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 499076,
      "relative_activity": 3.462955,
      "balance": 3.705562,
      "dry_up": 1.647173,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022978,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178146,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004904,
      "from_low_reference": 0.241608
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 66.382667,
      "fair_value_reference": 53.566074,
      "structural_low": 58.650002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 37,
        "median_return": 0.003845,
        "positive_rate": 0.567568,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.567568,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001968,
        "regime_survival": 0.756757,
        "best_return": 0.085733,
        "worst_return": -0.068821,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.642857,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002119,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.09934,
        "worst_return": -0.106591,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.025615,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018221,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.131176,
        "worst_return": -0.036149,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.089913,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018359,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.200132,
        "worst_return": -0.167801,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
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        "return": -0.019932,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 52.907324,
        "relative_strength": 2.499311,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 168366,
        "typical_volume": 143554.5,
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        "fair_value": 53.062516,
        "relative_strength": 1.550258,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.198068,
        "energy": 52.680944,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 68.230003,
        "volume": 148959,
        "typical_volume": 137126.75,
        "trend": 65.9755,
        "fair_value": 53.216907,
        "relative_strength": 0.306835,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.072532,
        "energy": 51.729589,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 69.485001,
        "volume": 133152,
        "typical_volume": 130002.75,
        "trend": 66.166667,
        "fair_value": 53.385721,
        "relative_strength": 0.832443,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.469772,
        "energy": 50.48631,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 71.019997,
        "volume": 499076,
        "typical_volume": 144118.55,
        "trend": 66.382667,
        "fair_value": 53.566074,
        "relative_strength": 2.692892,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.072399,
        "energy": 72.484173,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}