{ "ticker": { "uuid": "b4768502-6cd0-40ca-909b-b39029ac4475", "symbol": "SDJE5D", "name": "Invesco EURO STOXX 50 UCITS ETF (Dist)", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 88.73, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.813, "architecture_energy": 82.876, "architecture_maturity": 24.518, "architecture_confidence": 80.616, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 70.91, "upward_expansion": 93.82, "deceleration": 44.01, "rotation_down": 19.19, "downward_expansion": 18.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.464667, 61.015462, 59.760769, 58.875738 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 62.700001, "trend_reference": 58.128855, "distance_from_trend": 0.078638, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.196602, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.274478, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.648671, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.079174, "excess_performance": -0.091718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078638, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030326, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.274478, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079749, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046487, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033858, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.079174, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 16.020469, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65, "relative_activity": 0.00142, "balance": 16.020469, "dry_up": 0.004741, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020472, "annualized_volatility": 0.159865, "from_high_reference": -0.003496, "from_low_reference": 0.227516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.128855, "fair_value_reference": 49.196602, "structural_low": 52.240002, 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76.829243, "activity_lines": [ 60.438, 59.747579, 58.377068, 57.945442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.59, "volume": 257, "typical_volume": 56932.8, "trend": 57.646855, "fair_value": 48.777059, "relative_strength": -4.910333, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.044439, "energy": 69.662283, "activity_lines": [ 60.508667, 60.037768, 58.674041, 58.146011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.77, "volume": 384, "typical_volume": 47888.55, "trend": 57.818521, "fair_value": 48.909512, "relative_strength": -4.361684, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.745656, "energy": 62.642502, "activity_lines": [ 60.579334, 60.291062, 58.983395, 58.347504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.279999, "volume": 162, "typical_volume": 47090.25, "trend": 57.973855, "fair_value": 49.04867, "relative_strength": -4.13078, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.186012, "energy": 55.335031, "activity_lines": [ 60.826666, 60.552448, 59.318415, 58.570825 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.700001, "volume": 65, "typical_volume": 45766.7, "trend": 58.128855, "fair_value": 49.196602, "relative_strength": -4.648671, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.813319, "energy": 82.875666, "activity_lines": [ 61.464667, 61.015462, 59.760769, 58.875738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }